CNL's investment case is structurally impaired by a quality score well below the minimum threshold — negative free cash flow, a Piotroski F-Score of just 2 out of 9, and three consecutive earnings misses averaging a -27.7% negative surprise render the fundamental business case indefensible despite a technically favorable risk/reward geometry and meaningful analyst upside.
Thesis pillars
- Persistent Earnings Misses→Stable
- Quality Below Minimum Threshold→Stable
- Negative Fcf Capital Consumption→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Basic Materials · Gold
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.61: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Collective Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties located in Colombia. The company explores gold, silver, copper, and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interest in its flagship project The Guayabales project consisting of... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.61: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Collective Mining Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS Collective Mining Announces High-Grade Tungsten, Gold, Silver And Copper Mineralization At The Guayabales And San Anton — benzinga Jun 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Collective Mining Announces Considerable Progress On Workstreams Required To Support Development Of The Guayables Projec — benzinga Jun 17, 2026 positive
- NEWS Collective Mining Announces Discovery Of Precious Metal-Rich Mineralization In The Apollo Target Area At Its Guayabales — benzinga May 20, 2026 positive
- NEWS Collective Mining Announces That Trap Target Drilling At Guayabales Project In Colombia Will Begin In May — benzinga Apr 23, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-07T12:51:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Volatile — 7.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.61: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.66. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $21.25 (+56.1% upside). Prior stop was $12.66. Stop-loss: $12.66.
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).
Collective Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -29.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover CNL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.
What does Collective Mining Ltd. do?Collective Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties located in...
Collective Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties located in Colombia. The company explores gold, silver, copper, and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interest in its flagship project The Guayabales project consisting of exploration titles, exploration applications, and mining concession option agreements and a number of surface rights option agreements. The Guayabales Project is located in the Middle Cauca belt in the Department of Caldas, Colombia. The company is headquartered in Miami, Florida.