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Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.16: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Collective Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties located in Colombia. The company explores for gold, silver, copper, and tungsten deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% interest in the Guayabales project consisting of... Read more

$18.16+17.0% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#30 of 32 Gold
Stop $16.88Target $21.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$25.00+37.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.16: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-57.0
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA-37.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-54.7%
Rev Growth
Beta1.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 5.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
2.0
Beta
6.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 12 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.35Resistance $21.97

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+17.0%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.16: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $16.88. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.25 (+17.0% upside). Prior stop was $16.88. Stop-loss: $16.88.

What are the risks of investing in CNL?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is CNL overvalued or undervalued?

Collective Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -57.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNL?

11 analysts cover CNL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Collective Mining Ltd. do?Collective Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties located in...

Collective Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties located in Colombia. The company explores for gold, silver, copper, and tungsten deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% interest in the Guayabales project consisting of exploration titles, exploration applications, and two option agreements and a number of surface rights option agreements. The Guayabales Project is located in the Middle Cauca belt in the Department of Caldas, Colombia. The company is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

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