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CHTRCharter Communications, Inc.Sell5.1·$150.54-5.30%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Charter Communications offers extreme valuation cheapness — forward P/E of 3.2 times with roughly 50% analyst upside — but three of the last four quarters have missed estimates, short interest stands at 44% of the float, and free cash flow converts at only 49% of net income, making this a setup that requires improving execution before the deep discount can close.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Wide Analyst UpsideStable
  • Persistent Earnings MissesDeteriorating
  • Very High Short InterestDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueShortHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $150.54, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Charter Communications delivers broadband Internet, mobile, video, and voice under the Spectrum brand to 58 million homes and businesses across 41 states, with 31.8 million customer relationships and $119.05 monthly residential revenue per customer as of December 31, 2025.... Read more

$150.54+9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#27 of 42 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.26%
Stop $140.78Target $165.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$184.41+22.5%17 analysts
$165.97our TP
$150.54price
$184.41mean
$101
$380

Sell if holding. At $150.54, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 75%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.6%
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3.8
P/E (Fwd)3.6
Mkt Cap$21.4B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE27.2%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta0.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.27bearish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVerizon cellular network
    10-K Item 1: 'leveraging the cellular network of Verizon Communications Inc. ("Verizon"). We leverage the Verizon cellular network to provide nationwide coverage'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    On May 15, 2026, Charter entered an employment agreement with Jamal Haughton, EVP General Counsel & Corporate Secretary, effective May 15, 2026, term ending May 15, 2028. Annual base salary at least $825,000, target bonus 160% of base, equity grants commencing 2027. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    On April 21, 2026, stockholders approved amendment to Charter's 2019 Stock Incentive Plan adding 16.0 million shares available for issuance, effective April 21, 2026. Routine compensatory plan amendment; no officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
5.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.3
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Revenue shrinking — -1.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Earnings Growth
5.2
Declining revenue: -2%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.6
Bollinger
5.3
Support Resistance
5.6
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $143.97Resistance $160.70

Price Targets

$141
$166
A.Upside+9.6%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $150.54, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $140.78. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CHTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $165.97 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $140.78. Stop-loss: $140.78.

What are the risks of investing in CHTR?

Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5.

Is CHTR overvalued or undervalued?

Charter Communications, Inc. trades at a P/E of 3.8 (forward 3.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHTR?

30 analysts cover CHTR with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $184.

What does Charter Communications, Inc. do?Charter Communications delivers broadband Internet, mobile, video, and voice under the Spectrum brand to 58 million...

Charter Communications delivers broadband Internet, mobile, video, and voice under the Spectrum brand to 58 million homes and businesses across 41 states, with 31.8 million customer relationships and $119.05 monthly residential revenue per customer as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from monthly subscriptions; Spectrum Mobile's 11.8 million lines and rural network expansion are the primary growth drivers.

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