Four consecutive quarters of earnings beats averaging approximately 12% above consensus, a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 16.2x, and a risk/reward ratio of 2.3-to-1 make this an attractively valued government technology franchise; the primary near-term risk is momentum weakness alongside elevated options hedging demand, offset by the observation that the 200-day trend line remains intact and rising.
Thesis pillars
- Attractively Valued Material Upside→Stable
- Federal Concentration Spending Risk↓Deteriorating
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
CACI International, Inc. (CACI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Wait for pullback to $490.57. At $512.66 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $490.57 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%).
CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with Domestic Operations representing 97.0% of fiscal 2025 revenues. Revenue from federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of total revenues in fiscal 2025,... Read more
Wait for pullback to $490.57. At $512.66 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $490.57 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
About CACI International, Inc.
About CACI International, Inc.
Revenue from federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of CACI International's total revenues in fiscal 2025 (fiscal year ended June 30, 2025), with the Department of Defense alone generating 75.4% of total revenues. Domestic Operations represented 97.0% of revenues for the year, with approximately 25,000 employees spanning seven domestic market areas, including C3I, Cyber, Digital Solutions, and Enterprise IT. International Operations (3.0% of revenues) operate primarily through subsidiaries CACI Limited and CACI BV in the U.K. and Europe.
CACIearns revenue through a mix of fixed-price, cost-reimbursement, time-and-materials, and IDIQ contracts with federal agencies in defense, intelligence, and civilian sectors. The top ten revenue-producing contracts accounted for 46.4% of revenues, or $4.0 billion, in fiscal 2025. Government contracts include a base period and discrete option periods; option periods typically cover more than half of contract duration, and agencies retain the right not to exercise them, creating a gap between total backlog and funded backlog. A portion of revenues comes from subcontracting and teaming arrangements, making performance partly dependent on prime contractors. CACI competes in a highly competitive market against firms with greater financial resources and acknowledges it holds a relatively small share of the addressable market. International Operations focus on commercial and government enterprises in the U.K., offering IT consultancy services and proprietary data and software products.
Show full overview
The 10-K identifies federal government dependency as the primary risk: if CACI were suspended or debarred from contracting, or if the government significantly decreased business, operations would be materially and adversely affected. The risk compounds across multiple dimensions — budget continuing resolutions may force contract suspensions and delay new awards; DoD's 75.4% share of revenues exposes the company to defense spending shifts; and the Defense Contract Audit Agency may revoke direct billing privileges or impose contractual withholdings, slowing revenue collection. In June 2026, CACI disclosed via Form 8-K the retirement of DeEtte Gray, President of U.S. Operations, effective June 30, 2026, with a structured transition to Strategic Advisor through December 2026.
See also: Technology · Information Technology Services
From CACI International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-04Recent Developments — CACI International, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS CACI International (CACI) to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS CACI International (NYSE:CACI) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS CACI International tops quarterly estimates, raises revenue outlook (CACI:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - cbs19news.com — cbs19news.com neutral
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com — kare11.com neutral
Generated 2026-08-04T07:03:26Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfederal government96%10-K Item 1A: 'revenues from federal government contracts, either as a prime contractor or a subcontractor, accounting for 95.7%...of our total revenues in fiscal 2025'
- HIGHCustomerDoD75%10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 75.4%...of our total revenues in fiscal 2025...from contracts with agencies of the DoD'
- HIGHGeographicDomestic Operations97%10-K Item 1: 'Domestic Operations represented 97.0%...of our total revenues for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten revenue-producing contracts46%10-K Item 1: 'the top ten revenue-producing contracts...accounted for 46.4% of our revenues, or $4.0 billion'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-05Item 5.02MEDIUMDeEtte Gray, President U.S. Operations, notified CACI of intention to retire effective June 30, 2026. At Company's request, Gray agreed to remain as Strategic Advisor July 1–December 31, 2026 to support orderly transition. No successor named for the President role.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $490.57. At $512.66 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $490.57 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $560.28 (+9.3%), stop $453.76 (−13.0%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $560.28 (+9.3% upside). Target $560.28 (+9.3%), stop $453.76 (−13.0%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $453.76.
Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%); Thin upside margin: 9.3%.
CACI International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
24 analysts cover CACI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $644.
What does CACI International, Inc. do?CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with...
CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with Domestic Operations representing 97.0% of fiscal 2025 revenues. Revenue from federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of total revenues in fiscal 2025, with the Department of Defense generating 75.4%; the company employs approximately 25,000 people.