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BRUNBoost Run Inc.Sell5.5·$21.70-9.58%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Boost Run is growing revenue at a rapid ~165% year-over-year clip, but that growth is levered heavily (debt-to-equity near 48.8x), momentum has turned negative below the engine's threshold, and the only reported quarter on file was a steep earnings miss, so the growth story currently outruns both the balance sheet and the price trend.

Thesis pillars

  • Rapid Revenue GrowthStable
  • Extreme Leverage PenaltyImproving
  • Negative Momentum Below ThresholdDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Boost Run Inc. (BRUN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 48.8): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Boost Run, Inc. provides artificial intelligence cloud infrastructure and high-performance computing solutions. The company offers a range of graphics processing unit (GPU) servers hosted within datacenter facilities. Its platform provides GPU compute, CPU nodes, manage... Read more

$21.70+49.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#76 of 109 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $21.03Target $32.58(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$38.33+76.7%3 analysts
$32.58our TP
$21.70price
$38.33mean
$45

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 48.8): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 50%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 48.8): -1.5
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -24.4%), High leverage (D/E 48.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.0
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA-4804.8
Profit Mgn-60.6%
ROE
Rev Growth164.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV159%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
6.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Value Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
9.8
Industry growth leader

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 21)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.68Resistance $38.94

Price Targets

$21
$33
A.Upside+49.9%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRUN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 48.8): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.03. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the BRUN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.58 (+49.9% upside). Prior stop was $21.03. Stop-loss: $21.03.

What are the risks of investing in BRUN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 48.8): -1.5; Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -24.4%), High leverage (D/E 48.8).

Is BRUN overvalued or undervalued?

Boost Run Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRUN?

9 analysts cover BRUN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Boost Run Inc. do?Boost Run, Inc. provides artificial intelligence cloud infrastructure and high-performance computing solutions. The...

Boost Run, Inc. provides artificial intelligence cloud infrastructure and high-performance computing solutions. The company offers a range of graphics processing unit (GPU) servers hosted within datacenter facilities. Its platform provides GPU compute, CPU nodes, manage Kubernetes orchestration, and shared storage. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Northbrook, Illinois.

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