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BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.Sell6.1·$10.73-2.37%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BellRing trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x with roughly 34% upside to analyst targets and a Piotroski score of 9/9, but two of four recent quarters were earnings misses with estimates trending lower and a news-driven caution signal dampening the near-term case for adding to positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Early Technical Recovery SignalsImproving
  • Deep Value With Material UpsideImproving
  • Earnings Miss And Estimate DeteriorationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. At $10.73, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon... Read more

$10.73+19.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#7 of 35 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.36%
Stop $10.00Target $12.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$14.71+37.1%12 analysts
$12.80our TP
$10.73price
$14.71mean
$20

Sell if holding. At $10.73, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 94d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202694d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Margin of safety: 49%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -15.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.6
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.52
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.4
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -15.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 94d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.16Resistance $14.18

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.Upside+19.0%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (94d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.73, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $10.00. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.80 (+19.0% upside). Prior stop was $10.00. Stop-loss: $10.00.

What are the risks of investing in BRBR?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -15.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BRBR overvalued or undervalued?

BellRing Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRBR?

21 analysts cover BRBR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $15.

What does BellRing Brands, Inc. do?BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize...

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon together accounting for approximately 74% of net sales.

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · LWAY (Lifeway Foods, Inc.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.) · DAR (Darling Ingredients Inc.)
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