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BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.Sell6.4·$10.36-3.36%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BellRing trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x with roughly 34% upside to analyst targets and a Piotroski score of 9/9, but two of four recent quarters were earnings misses with estimates trending lower and a news-driven caution signal dampening the near-term case for adding to positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Early Technical Recovery SignalsImproving
  • Deep Value With Material UpsideStable
  • Earnings Miss And Estimate DeteriorationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.36: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon... Read more

$10.36+23.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#4 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield16.63%
Stop $9.79Target $12.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$14.71+42.0%12 analysts
$12.80our TP
$10.36price
$14.71mean
$20

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.36: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.5
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.52
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$10-3.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.09Resistance $12.23

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.Upside+23.0%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.36: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Prior stop was $9.79. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.80 (+23.0% upside). Prior stop was $9.79. Stop-loss: $9.79.

What are the risks of investing in BRBR?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BRBR overvalued or undervalued?

BellRing Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.5 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRBR?

21 analysts cover BRBR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $15.

What does BellRing Brands, Inc. do?BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize...

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon together accounting for approximately 74% of net sales.

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · MAMA (Mama's Creations, Inc.) · DAR (Darling Ingredients Inc.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.)
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