BJRI shows excellent cash conversion and a solid earnings beat streak, but its quality score sits below the engine's floor, its valuation target has already been reached with a negative modeled asymmetry, and insiders have been notable net sellers.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Floor Despite Strong Cash Conversion→Stable
- Earnings Beat Streak With Catalyst→Stable
- Target Reached Negative Asymmetry→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
BJ's Restaurants operates 219 full-service restaurants across 31 states as of February 27, 2026, featuring a roughly 90-item menu built around deep-dish pizza, large-format entrees, and craft beer brewed at four in-house breweries and two standalone brewpubs. The company employs... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Benchmark Maintains Buy on BJ's Restaurants, Raises Price Target to $80 — benzinga Jul 31, 2026 positive
- NEWS 11 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Thursday's After-Market Session — benzinga Jul 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS BJ's Restaurants Q2 Adj. EPS $0.94 Beats $0.89 Estimate, Sales $388.888M Beat $377.075M Estimate — benzinga Jul 30, 2026 positive
- NEWS Top 3 Consumer Stocks You May Want To Dump This Month — benzinga Jul 23, 2026 negative
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Neutral on BJ's Restaurants, Raises Price Target to $68 — benzinga Jul 20, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-08-16T19:22:06Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, Texas, and Florida10-K Item 1A: 'a significant number of our restaurants are concentrated in California, Texas and Florida'
- HIGHSuppliersingle malt supplier10-K Item 1A: 'We purchase a majority of our malts from a single supplier with multiple sources of malts.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-23Item 5.02LOWBoard approved increased non-employee director compensation effective June 17, 2026, including a $5,000 increase to the annual cash retainer (to $80,000) and a $15,000 increase to the annual restricted stock unit award (to $140,000), plus higher committee retainer fees. Routine compensation update; no personnel change.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOWAshley A. Van appointed Senior Vice President and Principal Accounting Officer effective May 11, 2026. Routine officer appointment; no predecessor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $63.19. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $73.11 (-3.5% upside). Prior stop was $63.19. Stop-loss: $63.19.
Concentration risk — Supplier: single malt supplier; Target reached (-3.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.0 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover BJRI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $75.
What does BJ's Restaurants, Inc. do?BJ's Restaurants operates 219 full-service restaurants across 31 states as of February 27, 2026, featuring a roughly...
BJ's Restaurants operates 219 full-service restaurants across 31 states as of February 27, 2026, featuring a roughly 90-item menu built around deep-dish pizza, large-format entrees, and craft beer brewed at four in-house breweries and two standalone brewpubs. The company employs approximately 22,000 team members and competes in the fragmented $100+ billion full-service restaurant segment, with menu prices generally ranging from $8.99 to $35.99. A significant number of BJ's restaurants are concentrated in California, Texas, and Florida.