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BEKEKE Holdings IncSell6.4·$17.92+0.06%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

KE Holdings screens attractively on an operating cash flow basis, but two failed momentum gates — including a confirmed death cross — and revenue declining 19% indicate the underlying property brokerage business is contracting; the gap between cheap valuation and eroding fundamentals defines the central investment question.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Contraction HeadwindStable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow QualityStable
  • Death Cross Technical BreakdownStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

KE Holdings Inc (BEKE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $17.92: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through five segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home... Read more

$17.92+18.8% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 18 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield22.01%
IncomeYield1.54%Payout44.94%
Stop $16.68Target $21.28(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$23.65+32.0%21 analysts
$21.28our TP
$17.92price
$23.65mean
$28

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $17.92: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.4
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$19.8B
EV/EBITDA-2.2
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE7.0%
Rev Growth-5.7%
Beta-0.26
Dividend1.54%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$18+0.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 6.9>=5.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.73Resistance $18.90

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+18.8%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts25
Consensus4.4/5
Avg Target$24

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $17.92: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.68. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BEKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.28 (+18.8% upside). Prior stop was $16.68. Stop-loss: $16.68.

What are the risks of investing in BEKE?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is BEKE overvalued or undervalued?

KE Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of 28.4 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEKE?

25 analysts cover BEKE with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $24.

What does KE Holdings Inc do?KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing...

KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through five segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home Transaction Services, Home Renovation and Furnishing, Home rental services, and Emerging and Other Services. It operates Beike, an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services; Lianjia, a real estate brokerage brand; Agent Cooperation Network, an operating system that fosters reciprocity and bonding among various service providers. The company also owns the Deyou brand for connected brokerage stores; and other brands. In addition, it offers rental property management and operation services; and contract, secure payment, escrow, and other services. KE Holdings Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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