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BDXBecton, Dickinson and CompanySell5.2·$183.40+0.79%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Becton Dickinson has posted four consecutive earnings beats and trades at 10.9 times forward earnings with exceptional free cash flow conversion at 398% of net income, offering roughly 8% upside to the analyst consensus target; a momentum gate failure with the stock below its 200-day moving average and a sole-source supplier concentration risk are the primary obstacles to a more constructive stance.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Execution Four StreakDeteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation Forward MultipleStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $183.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole sourced.

Becton, Dickinson and Company develops, manufactures, and sells medical devices, laboratory equipment, and diagnostic products through three segments — BD Medical, BD Life Sciences, and BD Interventional — serving hospitals, clinics, laboratories, and pharmaceutical companies... Read more

$183.40-8.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#25 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.04%
IncomeYield2.29%(5y avg 1.66%)Payout72.49%
Stop $173.78Target $210.91(default +15%)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$192.00+4.7%12 analysts
$210.91our TP
$183.40price
$192.00mean
$170
$225

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $183.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole sourced. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Becton, Dickinson and Company

About Becton, Dickinson and Company

Becton, Dickinson and Company's three segments — BD Medical, BD Life Sciences, and BD Interventional — supply medical devices, diagnostic instruments, and vascular specialty products to hospitals, laboratories, and pharmaceutical companies in over 20 countries. The company completed the $3.914 billion acquisition of Edwards Lifesciences' Critical Care product group in September 2024, and in July 2025 signed a definitive agreement to separate its Biosciences and Diagnostic Solutions businesses in a Reverse Morris Trust with Waters Corporation, expected to close around Q1 2026 calendar year, with BD to receive approximately $4 billion in cash.

BD Medical generates revenue through catheter systems, IV infusion pumps including the BD Alaris platform, prefillable drug delivery systems for pharmaceutical manufacturers, and hemodynamic monitoring systems acquired from Edwards Lifesciences in 2024. BD Life Sciences sells automated diagnostic instruments, reagent systems, blood collection platforms, and cell analysis tools to hospitals, blood banks, and academic researchers. BD Interventional offers single-use vascular, urological, and surgical specialty devices to hospitals and ambulatory surgery centers, primarily through direct sales and independent distribution channels. The company operates in a market where group purchasing organizations and health system consolidation have intensified pricing pressure, and large medical device companies as well as technology companies are expanding into the healthcare sector.

Show full overview

BD's U.S. infusion pump business operates under an FDA Consent Decree entered in 2007 and amended in 2009, covering all infusion pumps manufactured by CareFusion 303, Inc., which BD acquired in 2015. In December 2021, the FDA issued a Non-Compliance Letter noting certain corrective actions were inadequate; in November 2024, BD received a separate FDA Warning Letter specific to the BD Pyxis dispensing quality management system — a product line outside the Consent Decree's scope. CareFusion 303, Inc. is required to maintain an independent expert auditor through 2025, and the FDA's review of 2024 Form 483 observations on the Infusion quality management system remains ongoing.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From Becton, Dickinson and Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole sourced
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.8
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$49.6B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn4.2%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta0.26
Dividend2.29%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV40%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersole sourced
    10-K Item 1: 'there are situations where raw materials and components may only be obtained from one supplier, which are referred to as sole sourced'
  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial amount of our sales come from our operations outside the U.S.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Richard E. Byrd, Executive Vice President and President of the Interventional segment, officer change effective April 6, 2026. Body truncated; no reason cited or successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.8
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVENEWS LEGALExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
86 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $151.97Resistance $185.32

Price Targets

$174
$211
A.Upside-8.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BDX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $183.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole sourced. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $173.78. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BDX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $210.91 (-8.9% upside). Prior stop was $173.78. Stop-loss: $173.78.

What are the risks of investing in BDX?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole sourced; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

Is BDX overvalued or undervalued?

Becton, Dickinson and Company trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BDX?

21 analysts cover BDX with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $192.

What does Becton, Dickinson and Company do?Becton, Dickinson and Company develops, manufactures, and sells medical devices, laboratory equipment, and diagnostic...

Becton, Dickinson and Company develops, manufactures, and sells medical devices, laboratory equipment, and diagnostic products through three segments — BD Medical, BD Life Sciences, and BD Interventional — serving hospitals, clinics, laboratories, and pharmaceutical companies globally. Revenue flows from device sales, reagent systems, and service contracts distributed directly and through independent channels across more than 20 countries of manufacturing.

Related stocks: TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · ISRG (Intuitive Surgical, Inc.) · MMSI (Merit Medical Systems, Inc.) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.)
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