Skip to main content
AYIAcuity Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$328.41-0.02%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect four-quarter earnings beat record and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 signal a high-quality business entering its next report in 9 days, but a technical death cross and just 1.4% headroom to the analyst consensus target leave the near-term risk/reward tilted against new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Piotroski Nine Quality FranchiseStable
  • Death Cross Technical BlockStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Acuity Inc. (AYI) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Wait for pullback to $321.66. At $328.41 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $321.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations.

Acuity Inc. designs and markets lighting, building management systems, and audio-video platforms through two segments — Acuity Brands Lighting (ABL) and Acuity Intelligent Spaces (AIS) — sold primarily in North America via electrical distributors, system integrators, and direct... Read more

$328.41+5.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#6 of 24 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.75%
IncomeYield0.23%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout4.91%sustainable
Entry $321.66(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $305.52Target $346.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$398.29+21.3%7 analysts
$346.51our TP
$328.41price
$398.29mean
$465

Wait for pullback to $321.66. At $328.41 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $321.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 1, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations
Thin upside margin: 5.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$9.8B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE17.4%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta1.29
Dividend0.23%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$410+24.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMexico55%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 55% of our finished products are manufactured in Mexico'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source supplier situations
    10-K Item 1A: 'which on a limited basis, results in sole-source supplier situations'
  • LOWGeographicnon-U.S. net sales14%
    10-K Item 1: 'net sales initiated outside of the U.S. represented approximately 14% of total net sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
8.4
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 24)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $324.62Resistance $367.30

Price Targets

$306
$322
$347
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-01 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AYI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $321.66. At $328.41 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $321.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $346.51 (+5.5%), stop $305.52 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AYI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $346.51 (+5.6% upside). Target $346.51 (+5.5%), stop $305.52 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $305.52.

What are the risks of investing in AYI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations; Thin upside margin: 5.6%.

Is AYI overvalued or undervalued?

Acuity Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AYI?

12 analysts cover AYI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $398.

What does Acuity Inc. do?Acuity Inc. designs and markets lighting, building management systems, and audio-video platforms through two segments —...

Acuity Inc. designs and markets lighting, building management systems, and audio-video platforms through two segments — Acuity Brands Lighting (ABL) and Acuity Intelligent Spaces (AIS) — sold primarily in North America via electrical distributors, system integrators, and direct accounts. The company employs approximately 13,800 people and manufactures about 55% of finished goods in Mexico, investing $140.2 million in R&D in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: PLPC (Preformed Line Products Company) · VRT (Vertiv Holdings, LLC) · NVT (nVent Electric plc) · AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries, Inc) · FPS (Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.)
Home Stocks AYI

Latest news

Latest News

Sharewise.com72d ago
TradingView72d agoEarnings
StockStory72d agoEarnings
GuruFocus73d ago
MarketBeat23d ago
StockStory23d agoEarnings
GuruFocus30d ago
Simplywall.st66d ago
MSN66d ago
TipRanks10d ago
Tipranks.com10d ago
Simplywall.st74d ago
GuruFocus17d ago
TradingView17d ago
Finance.yahoo.com17d ago
Yahoo Finance17d ago
Yahoo Finance17d ago
Quiver Quantitative17d agoLeadership Change
Marketscreener.com17d agoLeadership Change
Simplywall.st24d ago
Loading more...