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AXSAxis Capital Holdings LimitedHold6.4·$101.31-0.13%
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Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 4.8%.

AXIS Capital Holdings operates as a global specialty insurer and reinsurer, writing $9.6 billion in gross premiums in 2025 across Insurance ($7.2 billion) and Reinsurance ($2.5 billion) segments with operations in Bermuda, the U.S., Europe, Singapore, and Canada. Premiums are... Read more

$101.31+4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#3 of 10 Insurance - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.90%
IncomeYield1.74%(5y avg 2.62%)Payout13.15%sustainable
Stop $95.97Target $106.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$122.00+20.4%11 analysts
$106.14our TP
$101.31price
$122.00mean
$137

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 4.8%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Axis Capital Holdings Limited

About Axis Capital Holdings Limited

AXIS Capital Holdings wrote $9.6 billion in gross premiums during 2025, split between an Insurance segment generating $7.2 billion across professional lines, property, liability, cyber, and marine and aviation products, and a Reinsurance segment contributing $2.5 billion across liability, professional lines, motor, accident and health, and credit and surety lines. Total assets reached $34.5 billion and shareholders' equity was $5.8 billion at year-end. The principal Bermuda operating subsidiary, AXIS Specialty Bermuda, holds a Class 4 license regulated by the Bermuda Monetary Authority under the Insurance Act 1978.

AXIS distributes Insurance coverage primarily through wholesale and retail brokers, with AmWINS Group accounting for 12% of Insurance gross premiums in 2025 and Ryan Specialty Group at 11%; no single insured exceeded 10% of Insurance premiums, reflecting fragmented end-customer risk. In the Reinsurance segment, Marsh & McLennan (25%), Aon (24%), and Arthur J. Gallagher (23%) collectively generated 72% of reinsurance volume; no single cedant exceeded 10% of reinsurance premiums. The investment portfolio is primarily investment-grade fixed maturities managed through third-party managers, supplemented by high-yield securities and alternative investments. Reinsurance and retrocessional coverage is purchased annually to limit per-event catastrophe losses, though market conditions have at times limited the ability to obtain desired amounts of coverage on acceptable terms.

Show full overview

AXIS's Reinsurance segment runs through a concentrated broker network: Marsh & McLennan at 25% of 2025 gross premiums written, Aon at 24%, and Arthur J. Gallagher at 23%, together generating 72% of reinsurance volume. Each intermediary holds meaningful distribution power in pricing and access negotiations. The 10-K discloses that in the current environment the ability to renew reinsurance arrangements or obtain desired amounts of replacement coverage on favorable terms may be substantially reduced — a dynamic that could weigh on reinsurance segment margins if key broker relationships deteriorate. Catastrophe losses totaled $159 million in 2025, primarily related to California Wildfires, Hurricane Melissa, and the Middle East Conflict.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

From Axis Capital Holdings Limited's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Axis Capital Holdings Limited

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.8%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.6
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$7.5B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE17.4%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta0.52
Dividend1.74%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$60-40.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyMarsh & McLennan Companies Inc.25%
    10-K Item 1: '| Marsh & McLennan Companies Inc.| $| 627,507 | | | 25 | %|'
  • LOWcounterpartyAon plc24%
    10-K Item 1: '| Aon plc| 583,418 | | | 24 | %|'
  • LOWcounterpartyArthur J. Gallagher & Co.23%
    10-K Item 1: '| Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.| 570,384 | | | 23 | %|'
  • LOWcounterpartyAmWINS Group Inc.12%
    10-K Item 1: '| AmWINS Group Inc.| $| 831,009 | | | 12 | %|'
  • LOWcounterpartyRyan Specialty Group11%
    10-K Item 1: '| Ryan Specialty Group| 784,743 | | | 11 | %|'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Peter Vogt departs April 1, 2026, ahead of original year-end 2026 schedule; Matthew Kirk assumes CFO role effective March 31, 2026. Vogt to receive termination-without-cause payments per employment agreement. Second officer change involving Conrad Brooks disclosed but body truncated before details.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
8.5
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $93.98Resistance $102.07

Price Targets

$96
$106
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AXS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 4.8%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $106.14 (+4.8%), stop $95.97 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AXS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $106.14 (+4.8% upside). Target $106.14 (+4.8%), stop $95.97 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $95.97.

What are the risks of investing in AXS?

Thin upside margin: 4.8%.

Is AXS overvalued or undervalued?

Axis Capital Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AXS?

17 analysts cover AXS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $122.

What does Axis Capital Holdings Limited do?AXIS Capital Holdings operates as a global specialty insurer and reinsurer, writing $9.6 billion in gross premiums in...

AXIS Capital Holdings operates as a global specialty insurer and reinsurer, writing $9.6 billion in gross premiums in 2025 across Insurance ($7.2 billion) and Reinsurance ($2.5 billion) segments with operations in Bermuda, the U.S., Europe, Singapore, and Canada. Premiums are earned from specialty risks including professional lines, property, liability, cyber, and marine, distributed primarily through wholesale and retail brokers worldwide.

Related stocks: RDN (Radian Group Inc.) · FAF (First American Corporation (New) · FNF (Fidelity National Financial, In) · NMIH (NMI Holdings Inc) · RYAN (Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.)
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