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ATRAptarGroup, Inc.Hold5.5·$132.36+2.60%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AptarGroup has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats and presents roughly 18% upside to the price target on a favorable risk/reward, but a confirmed downtrend and an elevated put/call ratio signal that the market remains cautious — the fundamental opportunity is real, but technical and sentiment headwinds must first relent.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Options Market HedgingDeteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Wide Upside Risk RewardStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AptarGroup, Inc. (ATR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source resins and rubber components; Thin upside margin: 8.7%.

AptarGroup designs and manufactures drug and consumer product dosing, dispensing, and protection technologies through three segments: Pharma (46% of net sales), Beauty (35%), and Closures (19%), serving approximately 5,000 customers globally. Europe represents 49% of 2025... Read more

$132.36+8.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#19 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.00%
IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 1.27%)Payout31.85%sustainable
Stop $125.68Target $143.92(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$165.43+25.0%7 analysts
$143.92our TP
$132.36price
$165.43mean
$220

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source resins and rubber components; Thin upside margin: 8.7%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About AptarGroup, Inc.

About AptarGroup, Inc.

AptarGroup's Pharma segment — the largest by revenue at 46% of net sales and 69% of adjusted EBITDA — supplies nasal drug delivery pumps, metered dose inhaler valves, and elastomeric injectable packaging components to pharmaceutical customers worldwide, with clean-room manufacturing in Argentina, China, France, Germany, India, Switzerland, and the United States. Beauty contributed 35% of net sales and Closures 19%. Europe accounted for 49% of 2025 consolidated sales by ship-to location, with Asia and Latin America combined adding another approximately 20%.

Aptar earns revenue by co-developing proprietary dispensing systems with pharmaceutical and consumer goods customers through lengthy regulatory and commercial qualification timelines. In the Pharma segment, nasal allergy pumps and MDI valves for respiratory conditions such as asthma and COPD anchor recurring volume; injectables — stoppers, plungers, and pre-filled syringe components for GLP-1 biologics and vaccines — accounted for approximately 19% of Pharma net sales in 2025. Sales to prescription drug and digital health markets were approximately 51% of Pharma net sales. Certain resins and rubber components for the Pharma segment are sourced from a single supplier, so a supply disruption could impair near-term delivery before alternative source qualification is completed. In Closures, food applications (49% of segment sales) and beverage (26%) dominate, with sustainability features such as post-consumer recycled resin and tethered closures driving incremental design wins.

Show full overview

AptarGroup's pharmaceutical customer relationships embed a regulatory binary: the company invests years co-developing drug delivery devices alongside a customer's clinical program, and if the FDA or a comparable regulator rejects the customer's drug, the development investment may not generate a future return. Two active litigation matters sharpen this risk profile. In May 2025, Nemera filed patent infringement actions in France and Germany relating to certain ophthalmic products; an EPO hearing in October 2025 invalidated Nemera's main patent claim while allowing an amended claim to continue. Separately, ARS Pharmaceuticals filed a U.S. antitrust lawsuit in September 2025 in the Southern District of California relating to supply of certain components, seeking injunctive relief and damages.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From AptarGroup, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — AptarGroup, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-26T09:22:59Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source resins and rubber components
Thin upside margin: 8.7%
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$8.4B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta0.39
Dividend1.49%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope49%
    10-K Item 1: 'Europe is our largest region in terms of sales ... were approximately 49% and 49% of our consolidated sales, respectively.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source resins and rubber components
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have historically sourced certain materials, especially some resins and rubber components for our Pharma segment, from a single source.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-13Item 5.02LOW
    Aditya Gandhi appointed VP and Chief Accounting Officer effective June 8, 2026, succeeding Daniel Ackerman who moved to another leadership role within Aptar Finance. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Stephan Tanda to retire September 1, 2026. Gael Touya, President of Aptar Pharma segment since 2018, appointed as successor CEO and expected to join the Board on the same effective date.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.1
Revenue Growth
5.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
3.2
52w Position
6.3
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $123.04Resistance $136.65

Price Targets

$126
$144
A.Upside+8.7%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source resins and rubber components; Thin upside margin: 8.7%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $143.92 (+8.7%), stop $125.68 (−5.3%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $143.92 (+8.7% upside). Target $143.92 (+8.7%), stop $125.68 (−5.3%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $125.68.

What are the risks of investing in ATR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source resins and rubber components; Thin upside margin: 8.7%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is ATR overvalued or undervalued?

AptarGroup, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ATR?

12 analysts cover ATR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $165.

What does AptarGroup, Inc. do?AptarGroup designs and manufactures drug and consumer product dosing, dispensing, and protection technologies through...

AptarGroup designs and manufactures drug and consumer product dosing, dispensing, and protection technologies through three segments: Pharma (46% of net sales), Beauty (35%), and Closures (19%), serving approximately 5,000 customers globally. Europe represents 49% of 2025 consolidated sales, with no single customer exceeding 4% of net sales and approximately 14,000 employees across about 20 countries.

Related stocks: STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.)
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