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ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.Sell3.9·$6.70-4.55%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue is declining 26% year over year and business quality sits well below the minimum acceptable threshold, while 25% short interest amplifies downside risk; the attractively low forward multiples may screen cheaply, but structural improvement in the top line and quality metrics must precede any constructive positioning.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Top Line RiskStable
  • Cheap Multiples Quality TrapStable
  • Below Floor Business QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Array Technologies, Inc. (ARRY) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellHigh Confidence

Technology · Solar

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.70: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Array Technologies is a global provider of solar tracking systems, fixed-tilt racking, foundation solutions, and control software, including the DuraTrack, OmniTrack, SkyLink, and SmarTrack product lines, for utility-scale and distributed-generation solar projects. The company... Read more

$6.70+38.2% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#8 of 9 Solar
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield3.48%
Stop $6.20Target $9.22(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$10.25+53.0%22 analysts
$9.22our TP
$6.70price
$10.25mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.70: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Array Technologies, Inc.

About Array Technologies, Inc.

Array Technologies has shipped more than 96 gigawatts of solar trackers to customers worldwide since its founding, with the United States generating approximately 81% of 2025 revenue and the rest of the world the remaining 19%. Its product portfolio spans the flagship DuraTrack single-axis tracker, the dual-row Array STI H250, the terrain-flexible OmniTrack, and, following its $185.4 million acquisition of APA in August 2025, foundation and racking systems sold under the APA brand.

Array sells its tracker systems, software, foundation solutions, and field services to solar developers, independent power producers, utilities, and EPCs, typically under master supply agreements or multi-year procurement contracts. The company manufactures module clamps, center structures, and motor controller assemblies at its roughly 283,000-square-foot Albuquerque, New Mexico facility while outsourcing steel tubing, drivelines, bearing assemblies, gearboxes, and electric motors to third-party vendors that ship components directly to job sites; the APA Acquisition added manufacturing and warehouse space in Ohio and Connecticut, including facilities leased from related parties tied to APA's former management team. Array's flagship DuraTrack design is protected by a U.S. patent on its linked-row, rotating gear drive system that does not expire until February 2030, part of a broader portfolio of 74 issued U.S. patents and 174 issued non-U.S. patents as of December 31, 2025. Demand is heavily influenced by federal tax policy: the Inflation Reduction Act's 30% investment tax credit and the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill's construction-start deadlines and tightened domestic-content rules directly shape when and whether customers break ground on new projects.

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Array's revenue is structurally exposed to customer concentration despite selling into thousands of individually financed solar projects: the 10-K states the company is dependent on a relatively small number of customers, with a small group historically accounting for a material portion of revenue, and any one contracting customer's purchases can exceed 10% of net sales in a given period. Because EPCs are increasingly pushing 'flow-down' contractual terms, including pay-if-paid clauses, liquidated damages, and liability above 100% of contract value, onto subcontractors like Array, the loss or financial distress of even one major EPC customer could simultaneously cut revenue and expose Array to payment risk on in-progress projects, a risk not fully offset by the fact that end demand originates from many different asset owners.

See also: Technology · Solar

From Array Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Array Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-07T15:22:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn-5.6%
ROE-22.6%
Rev Growth-26.1%
Beta1.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV104%elevated
Max Pain$17+153.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -26.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -26%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
6.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.8
Gross Margin
1.2
Moat
2.5
Roa
2.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
7.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.67Resistance $8.69

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+37.6%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARRY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.70: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.20. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the ARRY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.22 (+38.2% upside). Prior stop was $6.20. Stop-loss: $6.20.

What are the risks of investing in ARRY?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is ARRY overvalued or undervalued?

Array Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARRY?

30 analysts cover ARRY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Array Technologies, Inc. do?Array Technologies is a global provider of solar tracking systems, fixed-tilt racking, foundation solutions, and...

Array Technologies is a global provider of solar tracking systems, fixed-tilt racking, foundation solutions, and control software, including the DuraTrack, OmniTrack, SkyLink, and SmarTrack product lines, for utility-scale and distributed-generation solar projects. The company manufactures primarily in Albuquerque, New Mexico, with additional facilities in Spain, Brazil, Ohio, and Connecticut following its $185.4 million acquisition of APA in August 2025, and derived approximately 81% of 2025 revenue from U.S. customers while depending on a relatively small number of customers for a material p

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