AMZN at $265.29 is a compounder profile (Wide moat, 8/9 Piotroski, 3/4 beats, strong growth) but V9 produces NO_EDGE/AVOID due to thin 8.4% upside, near-52w-high positioning (4.8% away), and a soft momentum at 4.7 (below the engine's 5.5 threshold) — the the engine signals 'Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.'
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Engine signal |
|---|---|---|
Bull_case cites 'Wide economic moat' corroborated by quality.notes 'Wide economic moat', 'Compounder quality: strong returns + growth' and Piotroski F 8/9 — the structural durability case is intact. Bull case (item 3) | Moat component stays above 8.0 and Piotroski F-Score remains 7+/9 over the next 2 refreshes. | →stable |
| CounterFCF/NI 11% red flag in quality.notes shows reported earnings overstate cash generation; if FCF doesn't catch up, the 'compounder' label deteriorates to 'capital-intensive grower'. | ||
Bear_case 'Thin upside margin: 8.4%' and 'Near 52-week high (4.8% away)' — V9 asymmetry_ratio 1.68 barely clears the 1.5 floor and TP $287.62 leaves limited room before analyst re-rating is needed. Bear case (item 1) | Analyst take_profit advances above $300 (13%+ above spot) restoring asymmetry_ratio above 2.5. | →stable |
| CounterAnalyst targets routinely lag price during strong momentum — near-52w-high with above-200-day MA is a trend-continuation setup, not a top. | ||
Bull_case 'Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)' with avg_surprise_pct 29.76% (including 68% beat on 2026-04-29) and catalyst notes 'Strong earnings: 3B/1M' show execution against estimates is consistently strong. Earnings track record | Beat count holds at 3+/4 with avg_surprise_pct above 20% by the 2026-07-30 print. | →stable |
| CounterQ4 2025 missed by -0.49% — a beat streak operating at this magnitude is one quarter from being a 2/4 narrative. | ||
Bull_case cites 'Wide economic moat' corroborated by quality.notes 'Wide economic moat', 'Compounder quality: strong returns + growth' and Piotroski F 8/9 — the structural durability case is intact.
→stable- Expectation
- Moat component stays above 8.0 and Piotroski F-Score remains 7+/9 over the next 2 refreshes.
CounterFCF/NI 11% red flag in quality.notes shows reported earnings overstate cash generation; if FCF doesn't catch up, the 'compounder' label deteriorates to 'capital-intensive grower'.
Bear_case 'Thin upside margin: 8.4%' and 'Near 52-week high (4.8% away)' — V9 asymmetry_ratio 1.68 barely clears the 1.5 floor and TP $287.62 leaves limited room before analyst re-rating is needed.
→stable- Expectation
- Analyst take_profit advances above $300 (13%+ above spot) restoring asymmetry_ratio above 2.5.
CounterAnalyst targets routinely lag price during strong momentum — near-52w-high with above-200-day MA is a trend-continuation setup, not a top.
Bull_case 'Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)' with avg_surprise_pct 29.76% (including 68% beat on 2026-04-29) and catalyst notes 'Strong earnings: 3B/1M' show execution against estimates is consistently strong.
→stable- Expectation
- Beat count holds at 3+/4 with avg_surprise_pct above 20% by the 2026-07-30 print.
CounterQ4 2025 missed by -0.49% — a beat streak operating at this magnitude is one quarter from being a 2/4 narrative.
▸ Show 2 more pillars (SSR-indexed, visually truncated)▾ Show fewer
Insider signal BEARISH with 37 sells / 0 buys over 90 days and net -195,774 shares — 37 sell transactions in a quarter is unusually high frequency for a single ticker, even adjusted for AMZN's executive headcount.
→stable- Expectation
- Sell_count drops below 15 with buy_count >= 1 on the next refresh.
CounterAMZN's stock-comp-heavy executive comp produces high baseline sell counts via 10b5-1 plans; without dollar values (net_value_90d null) the 'BEARISH' label may not reflect discretionary conviction.
V9 setup_type RANGE_BOUND with RSI 40 mid-range and Bollinger mid-band, plus momentum 4.7 with soft warning 'momentum at 4.7 (below the engine's 5.5 threshold) (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)' — chart lacks a directional thesis.
→stable- Expectation
- Momentum subscore rises above 5.5 with RSI > 55 and setup_type advancing to BREAKOUT or CONTINUATION within 2 refreshes.
CounterRANGE_BOUND from $250-$290 is consistent with consolidation after the prior leg up; volume accumulation (rising OBV) suggests the next break is upward.
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $270.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products, advertising, and subscriptions service through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $270.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-05-30Recent Developments — Amazon.com, Inc.
Latest news
- AMAZON.COM ($AMZN) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- (AMZN) Amazon.com, Inc. Expects Q2 Revenue Range $194.00B - $199.00B - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- Amazon.com, Inc. - Amazon.com Announces First Quarter Results - Amazon Investor Relations — Amazon Investor Relations neutral
- Amazon.com Announces First Quarter Results - Business Wire — Business Wire positive
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is a trending stock: Facts to know before betting on it - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-05-30T00:22:21Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
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Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $270.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $287.62 (+6.3%), stop $257.80 (−4.9%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $287.62 (+6.3% upside). Target $287.62 (+6.3%), stop $257.80 (−4.9%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $257.80.
Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).
Amazon.com, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.6 (forward 27.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
78 analysts cover AMZN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $313.
What does Amazon.com, Inc. do?Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products, advertising, and subscriptions service through online...
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products, advertising, and subscriptions service through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, fire tablets, fire TVs, echo, ring, blink, and eero; and develops and produces media content. In addition, the company offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products in its stores; and programs that allow authors, independent publishers, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, skill and app developers, and others to publish and sell content. Further, it provides compute, storage, Artificial intelligence, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services, as well as advertising services through programs, such as sponsored ads, display, and video advertising. Additionally, the company offers Amazon Prime, a membership program. The company's products offered through its stores include merchandise and content purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. It serves consumers, sellers, developers, enterprises, content creators, advertisers, and employees. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.