Home Depot, Inc. (The) (HD) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $326.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
We offer our customers a wide assortment of home improvement products, building materials, lawn and garden products, décor products, and facilities MRO products, in stores and online. We also provide a number of services, including home improvement installation services, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $326.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -3.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $326.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $311.72. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $375.56 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $311.72. Stop-loss: $311.72.
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Home Depot, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 22.7 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
46 analysts cover HD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $408.
What does Home Depot, Inc. (The) do?We offer our customers a wide assortment of home improvement products, building materials, lawn and garden products,...
We offer our customers a wide assortment of home improvement products, building materials, lawn and garden products, décor products, and facilities MRO products, in stores and online. We also provide a number of services, including home improvement installation services, and tool and equipment rental. As of the end of fiscal 2025, we operated 2,359 stores located throughout the U.S. (including the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and the territories of the U.S.