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ADAMAdamas Trust, Inc.Hold6.0·$9.25-0.32%
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Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Adamas Trust, Inc. acquires, invests in, finances, and manages mortgage-related single-family and multifamily residential assets in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Investment Portfolio and Constructive. The Investment Portfolio segment manages a... Read more

$9.25+13.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 24 REIT - Mortgage
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield10.50%(5y avg 13.08%)Payout76.07%
Stop $8.60Target $10.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$11.88+28.4%6 analysts
$10.33our TP
$9.25price
$11.88mean
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 48%
Risks
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.8
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$821M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn48.1%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth10.7%
Beta1.24
Dividend10.50%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.60Resistance $9.59

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+11.7%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts11
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$12

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADAM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $10.33 (+11.7%), stop $8.60 (−7.6%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.33 (+13.0% upside). Target $10.33 (+11.7%), stop $8.60 (−7.6%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $8.60.

What are the risks of investing in ADAM?

Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Is ADAM overvalued or undervalued?

Adamas Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.8 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ADAM?

11 analysts cover ADAM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Adamas Trust, Inc. do?Adamas Trust, Inc. acquires, invests in, finances, and manages mortgage-related single-family and multifamily...

Adamas Trust, Inc. acquires, invests in, finances, and manages mortgage-related single-family and multifamily residential assets in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Investment Portfolio and Constructive. The Investment Portfolio segment manages a diversified portfolio primarily consisting of mortgage-related single-family and multifamily residential investments, including agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), non-agency RMBS, residential loans, such as business purpose loans, performing, re-performing, non-performing, and seasoned performing, multifamily loans, preferred equity investments, joint venture equity investments, multifamily investments, mezzanine lending, cross-collateralized mezzanine lending, and single-family rental. The Constructive segment is a business purpose loan lender specializing in rental and transitional loans for real estate investors; and origination and sale of loans. The company provides structured multi-family property investments; other mortgage-, residential housing- and credit-related assets and strategic investments; and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Adamas Trust, Inc. was formerly known as New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. and changed its name to Adamas Trust, Inc. in September 2025. Adamas Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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