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ACVAACV Auctions Inc.Sell5.7·$6.73-0.59%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ACV Auctions shows a recovering momentum-continuation setup with a solidly positive earnings surprise trend, but quality sits below the exit threshold, the reward-to-risk ratio failed its gate, and extreme put/call positioning signals heavy options hedging against the shares.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Exit SignalStable
  • Mixed Earnings Thin MarginsDeteriorating
  • Momentum Continuation RecoveringStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ACV Auctions Inc. (ACVA) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.73: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.14; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale vehicle transactions and data services that offer transparent and accurate vehicle information to our customers. Our marketplace platform leverages data... Read more

$6.73+26.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 17 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.07%
Stop $6.44Target $8.50(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$9.77+45.2%11 analysts
$8.50our TP
$6.73price
$9.77mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.73: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.14; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03

Recent Developments — ACV Auctions Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Aug 10, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Departure of Chief Financial Officer On August 10, 2026, ACV Auctions Inc.

Generated 2026-09-03T19:07:45Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA-40.2
Profit Mgn-7.9%
ROE-15.1%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta1.84
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.14bearish
IV72%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Departure of Chief Financial Officer On August 10, 2026, ACV Auctions Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.6
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.8
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
9.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 14)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
14 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.64Resistance $8.36

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+26.5%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.73: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.14; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.44. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.50 (+26.5% upside). Prior stop was $6.44. Stop-loss: $6.44.

What are the risks of investing in ACVA?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is ACVA overvalued or undervalued?

ACV Auctions Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACVA?

19 analysts cover ACVA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $10.

What does ACV Auctions Inc. do?We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale...

We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale vehicle transactions and data services that offer transparent and accurate vehicle information to our customers. Our marketplace platform leverages data insights and technology to power our digital marketplace and data services, enabling our dealers and commercial partners to buy, sell, and value vehicles with confidence and efficiency.

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