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ABUSArbutus Biopharma CorporationSell6.4·$4.85+2.63%
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Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (ABUS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.85: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00.

Arbutus Biopharma Corporation, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops novel therapeutics for infectious disease in the United States. Its chronic Hepatitis B virus product pipeline comprises Imdusiran, conjugated GalNAc, subcutaneously-delivered RNAi therapeutic... Read more

$4.85-0.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#16 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-9.40%
Stop $4.53Target $4.86(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$5.07+4.5%2 analysts
$4.86our TP
$4.85price
$5.07mean
$5

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.85: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-11.6% upside)
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -47.4%), High leverage (D/E 1.9)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.9
P/E (Fwd)-29.5
Mkt Cap$962M
EV/EBITDA5.6
Profit Mgn84.0%
ROE94.7%
Rev Growth10054.5%
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV88%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
3.1
Short Interest
3.4
Debt Equity
4.0
Beta
9.3
Elevated put/call: 3.00High IV: 88%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
9.1
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.06Resistance $4.96

Price Targets

$5
$5
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.6% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -47.4%), High leverage (D/E 1.9)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABUS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.85: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.53. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ABUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.86 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $4.53. Stop-loss: $4.53.

What are the risks of investing in ABUS?

Target reached (-11.6% upside); Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -47.4%), High leverage (D/E 1.9).

Is ABUS overvalued or undervalued?

Arbutus Biopharma Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.9 (forward -29.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABUS?

9 analysts cover ABUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Arbutus Biopharma Corporation do?Arbutus Biopharma Corporation, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops novel therapeutics for infectious...

Arbutus Biopharma Corporation, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops novel therapeutics for infectious disease in the United States. Its chronic Hepatitis B virus product pipeline comprises Imdusiran, conjugated GalNAc, subcutaneously-delivered RNAi therapeutic product candidate which is in phase 2a clinical trials that suppresses all HBV antigens, including HBsAg expression; and AB-101, an oral PD-L1 inhibitor, which is in phase 1a/1b clinical trial that has the potential to reawaken patients' HBV-specific immune response by inhibiting PD-L1. The company has licensing agreement with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop and commercialize products with LNP delivery technology. The company was formerly known as Tekmira Pharmaceuticals Corporation and changed its name to Arbutus Biopharma Corporation in July 2015. Arbutus Biopharma Corporation was incorporated in 2005 is headquartered in Warminster, Pennsylvania.

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