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ABAllianceBernstein Holding L.P.Hold6.4·$36.09-0.80%
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

AllianceBernstein Holding presents an unusual combination: an attractively valued asset manager at a forward P/E of 9.4 times with a PEG of 0.25 and a favorable risk/reward of 1.84-to-1, set against quality that has fallen below the minimum acceptable threshold, capitulation-risk momentum with RSI at 28 below the 200-day moving average, and a dividend payout ratio of 946% that far exceeds any plausible earnings coverage.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Peg DiscountStable
  • Quality Concerns Below Acceptable FloorImproving
  • Capitulation Risk MomentumDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. (AB) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

HoldGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

AllianceBernstein manages $867 billion in AUM globally through Institutions, Retail, and Private Wealth Management channels, generating approximately $4.5 billion in net revenues in 2025. Retail contributed 55% of net revenues despite representing only 41% of AUM; parent EQH... Read more

$36.09-5.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#34 of 236 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield9.61%(5y avg 8.34%)Payout101.79%at-risk
Stop $35.05Target $36.95(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$39.29+8.9%7 analysts
$36.95our TP
$36.09price
$39.29mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

About AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

AllianceBernstein managed $867 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025, up from $792 billion a year earlier, generating approximately $4.5 billion in net revenues. The Retail channel represented 41% of AUM but contributed 55% of 2025 net revenues, while the Institutional channel (41% of AUM) generated 15% of net revenues and Private Wealth Management (18% of AUM) contributed 28%. EQH and its subsidiaries — the firm's parent — accounted for about 16% of total AUM and approximately 4% of net revenues.

AllianceBernstein earns fees primarily as a percentage of AUM across equity, fixed income, alternatives, and multi-asset strategies. Retail distribution runs through financial intermediaries including broker-dealers, insurance representatives, banks, registered investment advisers, and other channels; U.S. Fund AUM was $75 billion (21% of retail AUM) at year-end 2025, with non-U.S. Fund AUM at $131 billion (37%). No single institutional client other than EQH accounts for more than approximately 1% of net revenues. Performance-based fees contributed $185.3 million in 2025 versus $271.0 million in 2024, representing 4.5% of total AUM. The company relocated many positions to its new corporate headquarters in Nashville, Tennessee. AllianceBernstein faces ongoing pressure from passive investment providers, whose relative outperformance versus active strategies has reduced inflows to active managers and may continue to weigh on fee rates.

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EQH's investment management agreements with AllianceBernstein are terminable at any time or on short notice by either party, with no contractual obligation for EQH to maintain any specified AUM level. In the institutional channel, EQH accounted for 26% of institutional AUM and 26% of institutional revenues in 2025. The 10-K discloses that termination of these agreements could have a material adverse effect on AllianceBernstein's business and financial condition — a counterparty concentration not mitigated by lock-ups or minimum-AUM commitments.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA (4d, -2.1%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.8
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn390.7%
ROE19.4%
Rev Growth
Beta0.77
Dividend9.61%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerEQH (parent company)4.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'EQH, our parent company, and its subsidiaries are our largest client, representing about 16% of our AUM as of December 31, 2025, and contributing approximately 4% of our net revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.0
Volume
2.5
Macd
2.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $35.85Resistance $37.70

Price Targets

$35
$37
A.Upside-5.3%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.3% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+1) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside -5.3% (lift floor +1.5%)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $36.95 (+2.4%), stop $35.05 (−3.0%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

What is the AB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.95 (-5.3% upside). Target $36.95 (+2.4%), stop $35.05 (−3.0%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $35.05.

What are the risks of investing in AB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (4d, -2.1%).

Is AB overvalued or undervalued?

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. trades at a P/E of 10.8 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AB?

15 analysts cover AB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $39.

What does AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. do?AllianceBernstein manages $867 billion in AUM globally through Institutions, Retail, and Private Wealth Management...

AllianceBernstein manages $867 billion in AUM globally through Institutions, Retail, and Private Wealth Management channels, generating approximately $4.5 billion in net revenues in 2025. Retail contributed 55% of net revenues despite representing only 41% of AUM; parent EQH accounts for 16% of total AUM and approximately 4% of net revenues.

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