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ABAllianceBernstein Holding L.P.Sell6.0·$35.25-1.37%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AllianceBernstein Holding presents an unusual combination: an attractively valued asset manager at a forward P/E of 9.4 times with a PEG of 0.25 and a favorable risk/reward of 1.84-to-1, set against quality that has fallen below the minimum acceptable threshold, capitulation-risk momentum with RSI at 28 below the 200-day moving average, and a dividend payout ratio of 946% that far exceeds any plausible earnings coverage.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Peg DiscountStable
  • Quality Concerns Below Acceptable FloorStable
  • Capitulation Risk MomentumStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. (AB) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.25: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

AllianceBernstein manages $867 billion in AUM globally through Institutions, Retail, and Private Wealth Management channels, generating approximately $4.5 billion in net revenues in 2025. Retail contributed 55% of net revenues despite representing only 41% of AUM; parent EQH... Read more

$35.25+2.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#25 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield9.51%(5y avg 8.34%)Payout104.97%at-risk
Stop $34.50Target $36.86(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$39.14+11.0%7 analysts
$36.86our TP
$35.25price
$39.14mean
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.25: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

About AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

AllianceBernstein managed $867 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025, up from $792 billion a year earlier, generating approximately $4.5 billion in net revenues. The Retail channel represented 41% of AUM but contributed 55% of 2025 net revenues, while the Institutional channel (41% of AUM) generated 15% of net revenues and Private Wealth Management (18% of AUM) contributed 28%. EQH and its subsidiaries — the firm's parent — accounted for about 16% of total AUM and approximately 4% of net revenues.

AllianceBernstein earns fees primarily as a percentage of AUM across equity, fixed income, alternatives, and multi-asset strategies. Retail distribution runs through financial intermediaries including broker-dealers, insurance representatives, banks, registered investment advisers, and other channels; U.S. Fund AUM was $75 billion (21% of retail AUM) at year-end 2025, with non-U.S. Fund AUM at $131 billion (37%). No single institutional client other than EQH accounts for more than approximately 1% of net revenues. Performance-based fees contributed $185.3 million in 2025 versus $271.0 million in 2024, representing 4.5% of total AUM. The company relocated many positions to its new corporate headquarters in Nashville, Tennessee. AllianceBernstein faces ongoing pressure from passive investment providers, whose relative outperformance versus active strategies has reduced inflows to active managers and may continue to weigh on fee rates.

Show full overview

EQH's investment management agreements with AllianceBernstein are terminable at any time or on short notice by either party, with no contractual obligation for EQH to maintain any specified AUM level. In the institutional channel, EQH accounted for 26% of institutional AUM and 26% of institutional revenues in 2025. The 10-K discloses that termination of these agreements could have a material adverse effect on AllianceBernstein's business and financial condition — a counterparty concentration not mitigated by lock-ups or minimum-AUM commitments.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth
Beta0.78
Dividend9.51%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$55+56.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerEQH (parent company)4.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'EQH, our parent company, and its subsidiaries are our largest client, representing about 16% of our AUM as of December 31, 2025, and contributing approximately 4% of our net revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.6
Macd
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
4.9
Roe
6.4
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.92Resistance $37.61

Price Targets

$35
$37
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.25: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $34.50. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.86 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $34.50. Stop-loss: $34.50.

What are the risks of investing in AB?

Target reached (-5.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is AB overvalued or undervalued?

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AB?

15 analysts cover AB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $39.

What does AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. do?AllianceBernstein manages $867 billion in AUM globally through Institutions, Retail, and Private Wealth Management...

AllianceBernstein manages $867 billion in AUM globally through Institutions, Retail, and Private Wealth Management channels, generating approximately $4.5 billion in net revenues in 2025. Retail contributed 55% of net revenues despite representing only 41% of AUM; parent EQH accounts for 16% of total AUM and approximately 4% of net revenues.

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