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ZKHZKH Group LimitedSell5.4·$2.95+0.34%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ZKH Group screens as statistically cheap on a PEG basis with recovering short-term momentum, but a quality score below the engine's investable floor and a narrowly failed asymmetry gate keep the position at zero conviction, with maximum short interest scoring as the key swing factor.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Investable FloorStable
  • Asymmetry Gate Failed By Narrow MarginStable
  • Cheap Multiple Attractive ValuationDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ZKH Group Limited (ZKH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.95: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

ZKH Group Limited develops and operates a maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products trading and service platform that offers spare parts, chemicals, manufacturing parts, general consumables, and office supplies in the People's Republic of China. It offers equipment... Read more

$2.95+23.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#13 of 22 Internet Retail
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $2.74Target $3.63(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$4.27+44.7%3 analysts
$3.63our TP
$2.95price
$4.27mean
$5

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.95: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — ZKH Group Limited

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-28T05:42:44Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$470M
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn-0.9%
ROE-2.8%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
5.1
Current Ratio
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
2.8
52w Position
5.1
Gap
6.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.92Resistance $3.02

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+23.0%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZKH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.95: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $2.74. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZKH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.63 (+23.0% upside). Prior stop was $2.74. Stop-loss: $2.74.

What are the risks of investing in ZKH?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is ZKH overvalued or undervalued?

ZKH Group Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZKH?

7 analysts cover ZKH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $4.

What does ZKH Group Limited do?ZKH Group Limited develops and operates a maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products trading and service...

ZKH Group Limited develops and operates a maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products trading and service platform that offers spare parts, chemicals, manufacturing parts, general consumables, and office supplies in the People's Republic of China. It offers equipment parts, including pump valve fittings, low voltage electrical, electric automation, wire and cable, fastening seal, pneumatics and hydraulics, and instrumentation products; chemicals, such as workshop chemicals, chemical reagents, lubricants, and adhesives, as well as paint and painting supplies; and manufacturing parts comprising cutting tool, air compressor, electronic vending machine, factory automation, and abrasive measuring tool products. The company also provides general consumables, including security-related, material handling, power transmission, personal protective equipment, welding, tape and label, cleaning supply, laboratory instrument consumable, and hardware and hand tool products; and office supply, furniture, fringe, lightening, refrigeration and heating, ventilating, air conditioning, and building material products. In addition, it offers MRO procurement and management services; AI-powered MRO procurement solutions; and logistics and warehousing services. Further, the company engages in the production and sale of intelligent warehousing equipment. ZKH Group Limited was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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