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Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.82: Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Negative price momentum.

REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated... Read more

$25.82+5.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#11 of 18 Internet Retail
Stop $24.06Target $27.16(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$31.21+20.9%14 analysts
$27.16our TP
$25.82price
$31.21mean
$24
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.82: Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.0
P/E (Fwd)23.4
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA19.0
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta1.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.57bearish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$18-32.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 18, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of Revolve Group, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.0
Volatility
2.4
Put Call
2.9
Days To Cover
3.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
4.0
High short interest: 18%Elevated put/call: 1.57High IV: 91%Above max pain $18

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
3.7
Value Rank
4.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.43Resistance $28.42

Price Targets

$24
$27
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RVLV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.82: Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.06. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RVLV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.16 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $24.06. Stop-loss: $24.06.

What are the risks of investing in RVLV?

Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0).

Is RVLV overvalued or undervalued?

Revolve Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.0 (forward 23.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RVLV?

22 analysts cover RVLV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Revolve Group, Inc. do?REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium...

REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated offering totaling over 140,000 apparel and footwear styles, as well as beauty and accessories.

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