Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.5/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)
REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.5/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 16, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Revolve Group, Inc.
Latest news
- Mmmk Development sells $3.14m in Revolve Group (RVLV) shares - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- Michael Mente Sells 60,923 Shares of Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV) Stock - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- Michael Mente Sells 42,678 Shares of Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV) Stock - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- Insider Selling: Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV) CEO Sells 15,640 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- Revolve group co-CEO Michael Karanikolas sells $3.14M class A stock - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 18, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of Revolve Group, Inc.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Volatile — 7.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.5/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 16, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $17.16. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $25.60 (+38.8% upside). Prior stop was $17.16. Stop-loss: $17.16.
Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0).
Revolve Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.7 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover RVLV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $29.
What does Revolve Group, Inc. do?REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium...
REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated offering totaling over 140,000 apparel and footwear styles, as well as beauty and accessories.