Revolve Group has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 50%, and analysts see 43% upside to consensus targets, but a confirmed death cross in moving averages, high debt-to-equity of 6.3, and a price trading below the 200-day moving average represent meaningful near-term headwinds.
Thesis pillars
- Large Earnings Beat Pattern→Stable
- High Leverage And Recovery Setup→Stable
- Analyst Upside To Consensus Target→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Sell if holding. At $22.65, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Below 200-day MA.
REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated... Read more
Sell if holding. At $22.65, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Revolve Group, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Mmmk Development sells $3.14m in Revolve Group (RVLV) shares - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS Michael Mente Sells 60,923 Shares of Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV) Stock - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Michael Mente Sells 42,678 Shares of Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV) Stock - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Insider Selling: Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV) CEO Sells 15,640 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Revolve group co-CEO Michael Karanikolas sells $3.14M class A stock - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
Generated 2026-07-07T10:21:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $22.65, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $21.06. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $25.83 (+14.0% upside). Prior stop was $21.06. Stop-loss: $21.06.
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Below 200-day MA; Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.6%), High leverage (D/E 6.3), Material insider selling (12 sells, 0.66% of cap).
Revolve Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.1 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover RVLV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $30.
What does Revolve Group, Inc. do?REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium...
REVOLVE is the next-generation fashion retailer for Millennial and Generation Z consumers. As a trusted premium lifestyle brand and a go-to online source for discovery and inspiration, we deliver exceptional service and an engaging customer experience with a vast yet curated offering totaling over 140,000 apparel and footwear styles, as well as beauty and accessories.