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Western Union Company (The) (WU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: agent network.

Western Union is a global money transfer and payments company with Consumer Money Transfer (87% of 2025 revenue) and Consumer Services segments. It has approximately 360,000 active agent locations across 200+ countries and territories. The company is acquiring Intermex for... Read more

$9.06+4.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#28 of 28 Credit Services
Stop $8.44Target $9.44(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$9.46+4.4%13 analysts
$9.44our TP
$9.06price
$9.46mean
$7
$16

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: agent network. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 56%
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: agent network
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.6
P/E (Fwd)4.7
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA5.1
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE47.7%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta0.54
Dividend10.47%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$1-89.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyagent network
    10-K Item 1A: 'Most of our Consumer Money Transfer revenue is derived through our agent network'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Milind Pant appointed to Board effective March 13, 2026; Board expanded from 11 to 12 directors. Assigned to Audit and Compliance Committees. Routine board appointment; no departure or disagreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.95Resistance $9.63

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: agent network. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.44. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the WU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.44 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.44. Stop-loss: $8.44.

What are the risks of investing in WU?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: agent network; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5.

Is WU overvalued or undervalued?

Western Union Company (The) trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 4.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WU?

27 analysts cover WU with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Western Union Company (The) do?Western Union is a global money transfer and payments company with Consumer Money Transfer (87% of 2025 revenue) and...

Western Union is a global money transfer and payments company with Consumer Money Transfer (87% of 2025 revenue) and Consumer Services segments. It has approximately 360,000 active agent locations across 200+ countries and territories. The company is acquiring Intermex for approximately $500M and launching the USDPT stablecoin initiative.

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