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Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Earnings in 2 days (2026-05-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away).

Walmart Inc. ("Walmart," the "Company" or "we") is a people-led, technology-powered omnichannel retailer dedicated to helping people around the world save money and live better by providing the opportunity to shop in both retail stores and through eCommerce, and to access our... Read more

$132.56+15.4% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#9 of 9 Discount Stores
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.99%
IncomeYield0.74%(5y avg 1.28%)Payout34.43%sustainable
Entry $113.75(200-day MA)Stop $108.53Target $131.27(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1Setup A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$137.78+3.9%41 analysts
$131.27our TP
$132.56price
$137.78mean
$62
$150

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $133.34 has reached target $131.27. No upside to wait for. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val3.5Qual4.0Grw1.9Mom7.4Sent7.0Ins3.4Peer3.1Tech3.6Risk6.84.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Walmart Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.8
P/E (Fwd)40.5
Mkt Cap$1.06T
EV/EBITDA25.6
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE21.8%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta0.65
Dividend0.74%
Rating analysts48

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$111-16.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
4.4

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.6
Peg Ratio
2.6
Forward Pe
2.8
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
9.3
Forward P/E: 40.5xPEG: 4.86

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $125.67Resistance $133.95

Price Targets

$109
$114
$131
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.9% upside)
! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $133.34 has reached target $131.27. No upside to wait for. Target $131.27 (-1.0%), stop $108.53 (−22.1%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $131.27 (+15.4% upside). Target $131.27 (-1.0%), stop $108.53 (−22.1%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $108.53.

What are the risks of investing in WMT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).

Is WMT overvalued or undervalued?

Walmart Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.8 (forward 40.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WMT?

48 analysts cover WMT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $138.

What does Walmart Inc. do?Walmart Inc. ("Walmart," the "Company" or "we") is a people-led, technology-powered omnichannel retailer dedicated to...

Walmart Inc. ("Walmart," the "Company" or "we") is a people-led, technology-powered omnichannel retailer dedicated to helping people around the world save money and live better by providing the opportunity to shop in both retail stores and through eCommerce, and to access our other service offerings.

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