Altria Group, Inc. (MO) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States domestic; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-country tobacco nicotine supply.
Altria Group is a U.S.-focused tobacco and nicotine holding company operating through PM USA (cigarettes), USSTC (moist smokeless tobacco), Helix (oral nicotine pouches), NJOY (e-vapor), and Middleton (cigars), with approximately 5,900 employees and revenue substantially all... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States domestic; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-country tobacco nicotine supply. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $72.93 has reached target $72.37. No upside to wait for. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: conservative.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUnited States domestic10-K Item 1: 'We operate primarily within the United States and generate substantially all of our revenue from domestic customers.'
- HIGHSuppliersingle-country tobacco nicotine supply10-K Item 1A: 'the nicotine used in our operating companies' innovative smoke-free products is extracted from tobacco produced in one country'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -0.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States domestic; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-country tobacco nicotine supply. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $72.93 has reached target $72.37. No upside to wait for. Target $72.37 (-1.4%), stop $62.97 (−16.6%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $72.37 (+9.3% upside). Target $72.37 (-1.4%), stop $62.97 (−16.6%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Stop-loss: $62.97.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States domestic; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-country tobacco nicotine supply; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Altria Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
24 analysts cover MO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $66.
What does Altria Group, Inc. do?Altria Group is a U.S.-focused tobacco and nicotine holding company operating through PM USA (cigarettes), USSTC (moist...
Altria Group is a U.S.-focused tobacco and nicotine holding company operating through PM USA (cigarettes), USSTC (moist smokeless tobacco), Helix (oral nicotine pouches), NJOY (e-vapor), and Middleton (cigars), with approximately 5,900 employees and revenue substantially all from domestic customers. The company generates income from premium brands including Marlboro, Copenhagen, Skoal, and on! pouches sold to wholesalers and large retailers in the United States.