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WGSGeneDx Holdings Corp.Sell5.6·$77.00+10.65%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GeneDx is a genomic diagnostics company with 84% revenue growth score and strong analyst consensus, but quality below the investment minimum at 3.9 out of 10, a 30% short interest, and a massive single-quarter earnings miss of -1,408% make this a high-risk situation requiring fundamental stabilization before new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Just Below FloorDeteriorating
  • Severe Earnings Miss RecentImproving
  • High Short Interest And Put CallStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GeneDx Holdings Corp. (WGS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 38%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

GeneDx provides exome and whole genome sequencing diagnostic tests focused on pediatric rare and genetic diseases, drawing on a dataset of over 2.5 million tests including more than 1 million exomes and genomes. Revenue derives almost entirely from diagnostic test reports, with... Read more

$77.00-3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#17 of 32 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.07%
Stop $71.68Target $88.64(default +15%)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$85.89+11.5%9 analysts
$88.64our TP
$77.00price
$85.89mean
$63
$103

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 38%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: diagnostic test reports
Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers for laboratory instruments and materials
Target reached (-3.1% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)67.7
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA-69.3
Profit Mgn-23.4%
ROE-40.8%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta1.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV84%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductdiagnostic test reports
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 was derived from diagnostic test reports'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle suppliers for laboratory instruments and materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a limited number of suppliers or, in some cases, single suppliers, for some of our laboratory instruments and materials'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
Gap
5.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -23.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.7
Gross Margin
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenueRule of 40: 1 (fail)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
5.3
Growth Rank
5.5
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.14Resistance $79.38

Price Targets

$72
$89
A.Upside-3.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.0%), Material insider selling (12 sells, 0.62% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 38%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $71.68. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.64 (-3.1% upside). Prior stop was $71.68. Stop-loss: $71.68.

What are the risks of investing in WGS?

Concentration risk — Product: diagnostic test reports; Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers for laboratory instruments and materials; Target reached (-3.1% upside).

Is WGS overvalued or undervalued?

GeneDx Holdings Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 67.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WGS?

13 analysts cover WGS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $86.

What does GeneDx Holdings Corp. do?GeneDx provides exome and whole genome sequencing diagnostic tests focused on pediatric rare and genetic diseases,...

GeneDx provides exome and whole genome sequencing diagnostic tests focused on pediatric rare and genetic diseases, drawing on a dataset of over 2.5 million tests including more than 1 million exomes and genomes. Revenue derives almost entirely from diagnostic test reports, with approximately 1.5% from outside the United States; the company employs nearly 1,300 people.

Related stocks: CDNA (CareDx, Inc.) · CSTL (Castle Biosciences, Inc.) · VCYT (Veracyte, Inc.) · MEDP (Medpace Holdings, Inc.) · NEO (NeoGenomics, Inc.)
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