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WESTWestrock Coffee CompanySell4.9·$8.39+1.45%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Westrock Coffee shows industry-leading 44% revenue growth and modest insider buying, but a quality score far below the engine's floor, a failed momentum gate despite an oversold uptrend reading, elevated short interest, and a 3-of-4 quarter earnings miss streak keep the setup high-risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Leading 44 Percent GrowthDeteriorating
  • Quality Below Floor Weak PiotroskiStable
  • Momentum Gate Failure Oversold In UptrendStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Westrock Coffee Company (WEST) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality.

Westrock Coffee is an integrated coffee, tea, flavors, extracts, and ingredients provider with two segments -- Beverage Solutions and Sustainable Sourcing & Traceability -- serving retail, food service, convenience, CPG, and hospitality customers as a 'brand-behind-the-brand.'... Read more

$8.39-1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#30 of 35 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield4.39%
Stop $7.81Target $9.66(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$9.75+16.2%4 analysts
$9.66our TP
$8.39price
$9.75mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.3% upside)
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.09% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)46.7
Mkt Cap$820M
EV/EBITDA28.1
Profit Mgn-4.9%
ROE-23.9%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$8-4.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop five customers35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, our top five customers accounted for approximately 35% of our net sales.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicConway, Arkansas facility
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our expected future revenues and operating cash flows will be generated by, our facility in Conway, Arkansas'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed A. Wellford Tabor as a Class II director filling the vacancy left by R. Brad Martin's retirement, and reduced Board size by one to eliminate the vacancy from Josie Natori's retirement. Routine board appointment, not an executive departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.2
Moat
3.6
Current Ratio
3.9
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
6.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
6.6
Value Rank
6.9
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.52Resistance $8.64

Price Targets

$8
$10
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.09% of cap)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.81. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WEST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.66 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $7.81. Stop-loss: $7.81.

What are the risks of investing in WEST?

Target reached (-1.3% upside); Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.09% of cap).

Is WEST overvalued or undervalued?

Westrock Coffee Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 46.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WEST?

10 analysts cover WEST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Westrock Coffee Company do?Westrock Coffee is an integrated coffee, tea, flavors, extracts, and ingredients provider with two segments -- Beverage...

Westrock Coffee is an integrated coffee, tea, flavors, extracts, and ingredients provider with two segments -- Beverage Solutions and Sustainable Sourcing & Traceability -- serving retail, food service, convenience, CPG, and hospitality customers as a 'brand-behind-the-brand.' It manufactures in Concord, NC; North Little Rock and Conway, AR; and Johor Bahru, Malaysia. Top five customers were about 35% of 2025 net sales; it posted a $90.4 million net loss.

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