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Welltower Inc. (WELL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $213.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Welltower is an S&P 500 REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare real estate across the US, UK, and Canada, with 2,500+ communities. Revenue flows from three segments: Seniors Housing Operating (78% of 2025 revenues), Triple-net leases (11%), and Outpatient Medical (7%),... Read more

$213.79+0.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Stop $202.38Target $215.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$229.80+7.5%20 analysts
$215.20our TP
$213.79price
$229.80mean
$184
$260

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $213.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)102.0
P/E (Fwd)64.5
Mkt Cap$149.5B
EV/EBITDA55.6
Profit Mgn12.0%
ROE3.7%
Rev Growth38.3%
Beta
Dividend1.40%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C12.07bearish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertySeniors Housing Operating78%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Seniors Housing Operating segment accounted for 78%, 76% and 72% of total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • LOWCustomerCare UK14%
    10-K Item 1: 'Care UK, Cogir Management Company and Sunrise Senior Living accounted for 14%, 12% and 10% of Seniors Housing Operating Segment revenues, respectively.'
  • LOWTenantIntegra Healthcare Properties16%
    10-K Item 1: 'our revenues related to our relationship with Integra Healthcare Properties ("Integra") accounted for approximately 16% of our Triple-net segment revenues and 2% of total revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
1.6
P Ocf
2.4
Analyst Target
4.0
P/OCF: 50.6x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $198.84Resistance $219.59

Price Targets

$202
$215
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WELL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $213.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $215.20 (+0.7%), stop $202.38 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WELL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $215.20 (+0.8% upside). Target $215.20 (+0.7%), stop $202.38 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $202.38.

What are the risks of investing in WELL?

Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is WELL overvalued or undervalued?

Welltower Inc. trades at a P/E of 102.0 (forward 64.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WELL?

26 analysts cover WELL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $230.

What does Welltower Inc. do?Welltower is an S&P 500 REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare real estate across the US, UK, and Canada,...

Welltower is an S&P 500 REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare real estate across the US, UK, and Canada, with 2,500+ communities. Revenue flows from three segments: Seniors Housing Operating (78% of 2025 revenues), Triple-net leases (11%), and Outpatient Medical (7%), with 62 operating partners managing the SHO properties.

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