Skip to main content

Welltower Inc. (WELL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $216.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%).

Welltower is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT focused on senior housing in the U.S., U.K., and Canada, with 2,500+ properties across Seniors Housing Operating (78% of revenues), Triple-net (11%), and Outpatient Medical (7%) segments. Revenue flows from RIDEA operating agreements with... Read more

$216.900.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.69%
IncomeYield1.36%(5y avg 2.51%)Payout139.61%
Stop $207.72Target $217.25(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$233.50+7.7%20 analysts
$217.25our TP
$216.90price
$233.50mean
$192
$260

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $216.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Welltower Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)105.3
P/E (Fwd)65.5
Mkt Cap$153.9B
EV/EBITDA57.0
Profit Mgn12.0%
ROE3.7%
Rev Growth38.3%
Beta0.82
Dividend1.36%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertySeniors Housing Operating78%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Seniors Housing Operating segment accounted for 78%, 76% and 72% of total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • LOWTenantCare UK14%
    10-K Item 1: 'Care UK, Cogir Management Company and Sunrise Senior Living accounted for 14%, 12% and 10% of Seniors Housing Operating Segment revenues, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
1.3
P Ocf
2.3
Analyst Target
4.0
P/OCF: 52.1x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $199.35Resistance $221.68

Price Targets

$208
$217
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WELL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $216.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $207.72. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WELL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $217.25 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $207.72. Stop-loss: $207.72.

What are the risks of investing in WELL?

Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.0% away).

Is WELL overvalued or undervalued?

Welltower Inc. trades at a P/E of 105.3 (forward 65.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WELL?

26 analysts cover WELL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $234.

What does Welltower Inc. do?Welltower is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT focused on senior housing in the U.S., U.K., and Canada, with 2,500+ properties...

Welltower is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT focused on senior housing in the U.S., U.K., and Canada, with 2,500+ properties across Seniors Housing Operating (78% of revenues), Triple-net (11%), and Outpatient Medical (7%) segments. Revenue flows from RIDEA operating agreements with 62 senior housing operators; Care UK, Cogir, and Sunrise Senior Living managed 14%, 12%, and 10% of SHOP segment revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: VTR (Ventas, Inc.) · NLY (Annaly Capital Management Inc.) · AMT (American Tower Corporation (REI) · VICI (VICI Properties Inc.) · PSA (Public Storage)