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WELLWelltower Inc.Hold5.9·$213.50+0.32%
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Welltower Inc. (WELL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $213.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Welltower is a REIT owning 2,500+ seniors housing, wellness, and post-acute care properties across the U.S., U.K., and Canada, with the Seniors Housing Operating segment generating 78% of 2025 total revenues. Revenue flows primarily through third-party-managed RIDEA structures,... Read more

$213.50+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.73%
IncomeYield1.39%(5y avg 2.48%)Payout139.61%
Stop $201.02Target $216.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$236.75+10.9%20 analysts
$216.09our TP
$213.50price
$236.75mean
$192
$277

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $213.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Welltower Inc.

About Welltower Inc.

Welltower owns 2,500+ seniors housing, wellness, and post-acute care properties in the U.S., U.K., and Canada, with the Seniors Housing Operating (SHO) segment contributing 78% of total revenues in 2025, up from 72% in 2023. The Triple-net segment added 11% of 2025 revenues, and the Outpatient Medical segment — where 91% of buildings are affiliated with health systems — contributed 7%. Welltower employs the RIDEA structure for SHO properties, consolidating revenues from properties managed by 62 third-party partner firms.

Welltower generates revenue primarily through the RIDEA structure, under which third-party management firms operate properties under incentive-based contracts. In 2025, Care UK, Cogir Management Company, and Sunrise Senior Living were the top three SHO managers, accounting for 14%, 12%, and 10% of SHO segment revenues respectively. The Triple-net portfolio had 96.9% of properties subject to master leases at December 31, 2025, with Integra Healthcare Properties representing approximately 16% of Triple-net revenues and 2% of total revenues. The Outpatient Medical portfolio carries a weighted-average remaining lease term of eight years; 66% of buildings are structured as full expense pass-through leases. Capital is deployed through acquisitions, development, and joint ventures, including a £5.2 billion U.K. seniors housing portfolio announced in 2025. Outstanding construction investments totaled $738,859,000 at year-end 2025, with $493,027,000 of additional committed funding.

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Welltower's SHO properties depend on third-party operators whose revenues are primarily driven by occupancy levels and government reimbursement rates. The OBBBA contains a provision that, starting in 2028, would require state Medicaid programs to reduce reimbursement rates by 10 percentage points annually until reaching 100–110% of Medicare rates — a change that, if not offset by private-pay rate growth or operator cost reductions, could pressure Medicaid-dependent operators' ability to meet obligations to Welltower. Labor shortages for medical and non-medical workers, partly driven by immigration restrictions and competing wages, have already increased operator costs and may continue to affect occupancy and payment capacity.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

From Welltower Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)103.3
P/E (Fwd)63.3
Mkt Cap$150.2B
EV/EBITDA55.8
Profit Mgn12.0%
ROE3.7%
Rev Growth38.3%
Beta0.78
Dividend1.39%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral
IV42%normal
Max Pain$270+26.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductSeniors Housing Operating78%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Seniors Housing Operating segment accounted for 78%, 76% and 72% of total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWTenantCare UK14%
    10-K Item 1: 'Care UK, Cogir Management Company and Sunrise Senior Living accounted for 14%, 12% and 10% of Seniors Housing Operating Segment revenues, respectively'
  • LOWTenantIntegra Healthcare Properties16%
    10-K Item 1: 'revenues related to our relationship with Integra Healthcare Properties ("Integra") accounted for approximately 16% of our Triple-net segment revenues and 2% of total revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
1.5
P Ocf
2.4
Analyst Target
4.0
P/OCF: 50.9x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $194.67Resistance $220.50

Price Targets

$201
$216
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WELL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $213.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $216.09 (+1.2%), stop $201.02 (−6.2%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WELL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $216.09 (+1.2% upside). Target $216.09 (+1.2%), stop $201.02 (−6.2%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $201.02.

What are the risks of investing in WELL?

Concentration risk — Product: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away).

Is WELL overvalued or undervalued?

Welltower Inc. trades at a P/E of 103.3 (forward 63.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WELL?

26 analysts cover WELL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $237.

What does Welltower Inc. do?Welltower is a REIT owning 2,500+ seniors housing, wellness, and post-acute care properties across the U.S., U.K., and...

Welltower is a REIT owning 2,500+ seniors housing, wellness, and post-acute care properties across the U.S., U.K., and Canada, with the Seniors Housing Operating segment generating 78% of 2025 total revenues. Revenue flows primarily through third-party-managed RIDEA structures, long-term triple-net master leases, and outpatient medical buildings leased to health-system-affiliated tenants.

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