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Vodafone Group Plc (VOD) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.82: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Turkey, and South Africa. It offers mobile and fixed services; connectivity business solutions, such as digital services, the Internet of Things (IoT) and... Read more

$15.82-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#18 of 40 Telecom Services
Stop $15.26Target $15.62(resistance)A.R:R -6.5:1
Analyst target$12.54-20.8%4 analysts
$15.62our TP
$15.82price
$12.54mean
$11

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.82: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-32.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.6% YoY), High leverage (D/E 9.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.0
Mkt Cap$35.4B
EV/EBITDA49.5
Profit Mgn-11.4%
ROE-6.6%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.31
Dividend3.47%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$4-74.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -11.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.9
Gross Margin
2.6
Operating Margin
4.0
Current Ratio
4.5
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.4
Value Rank
4.2
Growth Rank
6.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -6.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.03Resistance $15.94

Price Targets

$15
$16
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-6.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-32.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.6% YoY), High leverage (D/E 9.4)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VOD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.82: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.26. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VOD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.62 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $15.26. Stop-loss: $15.26.

What are the risks of investing in VOD?

Target reached (-32.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.6% YoY), High leverage (D/E 9.4).

Is VOD overvalued or undervalued?

Vodafone Group Plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VOD?

28 analysts cover VOD with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Vodafone Group Plc do?Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of...

Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Turkey, and South Africa. It offers mobile and fixed services; connectivity business solutions, such as digital services, the Internet of Things (IoT) and financial services; and IoT platforms. The company also provides cloud, multi-cloud, and edge computing solutions; M-PESA, an African mobile money platform to make payments and offer financial services; and international voice and roaming services. In addition, it offers unified communications, mobile connectivity, IoT connectivity, cloud and edge, E2E solutions, and security services; leases fibre and other fixed connectivity services; and engages in infrastructure assets, shared operations, growth platforms, retail, and service operations. The company serves private and public sector customers in health, banking and finance, transport and logistics, retail, utilities, and agriculture industries. Vodafone Group Public Limited Company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Newbury, the United Kingdom.

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