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Vir Biotechnology, Inc. (VIR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.33: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.40; Below-average business quality.

Vir Biotechnology, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutic products to treat and prevent serious infectious diseases in the United States and internationally. Its clinical development pipeline consists of product investigational... Read more

$10.33+74.9% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#139 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $9.61Target $18.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst target$20.78+101.1%9 analysts
$18.08our TP
$10.33price
$20.78mean
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.33: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-4.5
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA-2.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-45.7%
Rev Growth417.8%
Beta1.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C10.40bearish
IV114%elevated
Max Pain$1-90.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.5
Cash-burning: FCF -254% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.2
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 6 days

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
2.9
Growth Rank
9.9
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.65Resistance $11.66

Price Targets

$10
$18
A.Upside+75.0%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VIR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.33: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $9.61. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VIR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.08 (+74.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.61. Stop-loss: $9.61.

What are the risks of investing in VIR?

Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is VIR overvalued or undervalued?

Vir Biotechnology, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VIR?

14 analysts cover VIR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Vir Biotechnology, Inc. do?Vir Biotechnology, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutic products to...

Vir Biotechnology, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutic products to treat and prevent serious infectious diseases in the United States and internationally. Its clinical development pipeline consists of product investigational therapies targeting hepatitis delta virus (HDV) and other solid tumors. The company's preclinical candidates include those targeting influenza A and B antibodies and antibody drug conjugates, and coronavirus monoclonal antibodies; and PRO-XTEN, a dual-masked TCEs targeting variety of solid tumors. It has grant collaboration and license agreement with Astellas; license agreement with Norgine for the treatment of CHD; amended and restated letter agreement with the Gates Foundation; an option and license agreement with Brii Biosciences Limited; a collaboration and license agreement with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; license agreement with the Institute for Research in Biomedicine; a license agreement with The Rockefeller University; license agreements with Xencor; and a collaborative research agreement with GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals S.A. Vir Biotechnology, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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