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V.F. Corporation (VFC) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $15.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.97. Engine's entry $15.96 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans, Timberland, and Dickies, organized into Outdoor, Active, and Work segments. In FY2025 (ended March 2025), 51% of revenues were from Americas, 34% Europe, and 15%... Read more

$15.97+23.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.94%
IncomeYield2.15%(5y avg 4.32%)Payout63.16%
Entry $15.96(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $14.50Target $18.90(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1Setup A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$21.00+31.5%21 analysts
$18.90our TP
$15.97price
$21.00mean
$40

Wait for pullback to $15.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.97. Engine's entry $15.96 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val8.1Qual6.1Grw6.5Mom1.2Sent6.1Ins5.0Peer5.0Tech7.4Risk4.35.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — V.F. Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.1%), High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.4
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE22.1%
Rev Growth1.5%
Beta0.97
Dividend2.15%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$10-37.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Martino Scabbia Guerrini (CCO and President, Emerging Brands) no longer serving in those roles effective Jan 28, 2026; transitioning to senior advisor to CEO. Brent Hyder (EVP, Chief People Officer) appointed as new CCO. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
26 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.85Resistance $21.54

Price Targets

$15
$16
$19
A.Upside+18.3%
A.R:R1.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VFC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.97. Engine's entry $15.96 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $18.90 (+18.3%), stop $14.50 (−10.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the VFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.90 (+23.2% upside). Target $18.90 (+18.3%), stop $14.50 (−10.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $14.50.

What are the risks of investing in VFC?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5; Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.1%), High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Is VFC overvalued or undervalued?

V.F. Corporation trades at a P/E of 29.4 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about VFC?

28 analysts cover VFC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $21.

What does V.F. Corporation do?V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans,...

V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans, Timberland, and Dickies, organized into Outdoor, Active, and Work segments. In FY2025 (ended March 2025), 51% of revenues were from Americas, 34% Europe, and 15% Asia-Pacific, with DTC representing 44% of total revenues. The company is executing a Reinvent turnaround targeting $500-600M net operating income expansion by FY2028.

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