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VFCV.F. CorporationHold5.6·$17.70-1.50%
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V.F. Corporation (VFC) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5.

V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans, Timberland, and Dickies, organized into Outdoor, Active, and Work segments. In FY2025 (ended March 2025), 51% of revenues were from Americas, 34% Europe, and 15%... Read more

$17.70+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.11%
IncomeYield2.00%(5y avg 4.32%)Payout56.25%sustainable
Stop $16.46Target $18.19(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$20.21+14.2%21 analysts
$18.19our TP
$17.70price
$20.21mean
$14
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About V.F. Corporation

About V.F. Corporation

V.F. Corporation's portfolio—The North Face, Vans, and Timberland as the largest brands—generated revenues split 50% from the Americas, 35% from Europe, and 15% from Asia-Pacific in Fiscal 2026, with direct-to-consumer accounting for 44% of total revenues. The company operated 1,080 VF-owned stores and sold the Supreme brand in October 2024 and the Dickies brand in November 2025, reducing long-term debt by $2.2 billion over two fiscal years as part of a balance-sheet turnaround targeting a 10% operating margin and 2.5x leverage ratio by Fiscal 2028.

V.F. Corporation earns revenue through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels; the direct-to-consumer business represented 44% of Fiscal 2026 revenues, with e-commerce alone accounting for approximately 18% of total revenues. The Outdoor segment—The North Face and Timberland—is heavily seasonal, with 34% of segment revenues in the third fiscal quarter versus 14% in the first. The Active segment (Vans, Kipling, Eastpak, JanSport) targets youth and action sports demographics. Products are sourced from approximately 216 independent contractor facilities across approximately 24 countries; no single supplier exceeded 8% of total cost of goods sold in Fiscal 2026. Royalty income was $49.7 million in Fiscal 2026—less than 1% of total revenues—primarily from the Vans and Timberland brands. VF competes with numerous global apparel, footwear, and accessories brands, with certain competitors having greater resources in specific product categories and regions.

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VF detected unauthorized occurrences on portions of its information technology systems in December 2023, disrupting inventory management, ordering and replenishment, sourcing and distribution, and retail store and e-commerce operations. Separately, the U.S. tariff environment shifted materially during Fiscal 2026: the government announced broad-based IEEPA tariffs in April 2025, the Supreme Court invalidated IEEPA tariffs in February 2026, and additional new tariffs under other statutory authorities were imposed immediately thereafter. VF's mitigation strategies include sourcing optimization, accelerating production and shipments into the U.S., vendor negotiations, and tactical price increases, though the 10-K notes the tariff environment remains rapidly evolving.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

From V.F. Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.1
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$7.0B
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE22.1%
Rev Growth1.0%
Beta0.97
Dividend2.00%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$35+97.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Martino Scabbia Guerrini (CCO and President, Emerging Brands) no longer serving in those roles effective Jan 28, 2026; transitioning to senior advisor to CEO. Brent Hyder (EVP, Chief People Officer) appointed as new CCO. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.5
Support Resistance
2.6
52w Position
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.48Resistance $18.48

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VFC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $18.19 (+2.8%), stop $16.46 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.19 (+2.8% upside). Target $18.19 (+2.8%), stop $16.46 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $16.46.

What are the risks of investing in VFC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is VFC overvalued or undervalued?

V.F. Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VFC?

28 analysts cover VFC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $20.

What does V.F. Corporation do?V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans,...

V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans, Timberland, and Dickies, organized into Outdoor, Active, and Work segments. In FY2025 (ended March 2025), 51% of revenues were from Americas, 34% Europe, and 15% Asia-Pacific, with DTC representing 44% of total revenues. The company is executing a Reinvent turnaround targeting $500-600M net operating income expansion by FY2028.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation)
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