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Vera Therapeutics, Inc. (VERA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.25: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 8.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality.

Vera Therapeutics is a late clinical-stage biotech developing atacicept (TACI-Fc dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor) for IgAN, with a BLA granted Priority Review (PDUFA July 7, 2026), plus MAU868 for BK viremia and VT-109 (preclinical). No products approved; $714.6M cash as of December... Read more

$33.25+104.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#119 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-7.28%
Stop $31.83Target $68.11(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 8.4:1
Analyst target$78.29+135.4%14 analysts
$68.11our TP
$33.25price
$78.29mean
$110

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.25: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 8.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Vera Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-9.7
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-5.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-71.3%
Rev Growth
Beta0.95
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume
4.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+7.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 8.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.81Resistance $40.68

Price Targets

$32
$68
A.Upside+104.8%
A.R:R8.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VERA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.25: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 8.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $31.83. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VERA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $68.11 (+104.8% upside). Prior stop was $31.83. Stop-loss: $31.83.

What are the risks of investing in VERA?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is VERA overvalued or undervalued?

Vera Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VERA?

20 analysts cover VERA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Vera Therapeutics, Inc. do?Vera Therapeutics is a late clinical-stage biotech developing atacicept (TACI-Fc dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor) for IgAN,...

Vera Therapeutics is a late clinical-stage biotech developing atacicept (TACI-Fc dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor) for IgAN, with a BLA granted Priority Review (PDUFA July 7, 2026), plus MAU868 for BK viremia and VT-109 (preclinical). No products approved; $714.6M cash as of December 31, 2025. Atacicept is in-licensed from Ares Trading S.A. with worldwide commercialization rights.

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