Skip to main content

Unum Group (UNM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.13: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality.

Unum Group provides workplace financial protection benefits (disability, life, dental/vision, critical illness) in the US, UK, and Poland through three core segments: Unum US (65.4% of 2025 premium income), Colonial Life (17%), and Unum International (10%). Products are marketed... Read more

$82.13+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 15 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-13.83%
IncomeYield2.24%(5y avg 3.02%)Payout38.96%sustainable
Stop $79.23Target $84.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$97.08+18.2%13 analysts
$84.46our TP
$82.13price
$97.08mean
$117

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.13: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Unum Group

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (2.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-9.8% YoY), High leverage (D/E 5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$13.1B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE7.1%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.23
Dividend2.24%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.41bearish
IV31%normal
Max Pain$95+15.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 224.0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.8
Gross Margin
1.9
Roe
2.4
Net Margin
2.9
Operating Margin
4.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -233% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.01Resistance $83.46

Price Targets

$79
$84
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-9.8% YoY), High leverage (D/E 5.2)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.13: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $79.23. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UNM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.46 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $79.23. Stop-loss: $79.23.

What are the risks of investing in UNM?

Target reached (2.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-9.8% YoY), High leverage (D/E 5.2).

Is UNM overvalued or undervalued?

Unum Group trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UNM?

18 analysts cover UNM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $97.

What does Unum Group do?Unum Group provides workplace financial protection benefits (disability, life, dental/vision, critical illness) in the...

Unum Group provides workplace financial protection benefits (disability, life, dental/vision, critical illness) in the US, UK, and Poland through three core segments: Unum US (65.4% of 2025 premium income), Colonial Life (17%), and Unum International (10%). Products are marketed through employers to employees; the Closed Block segment contains run-off long-term care and legacy products.

Related stocks: FG (F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.) · AFL (AFLAC Incorporated) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · PUK (Prudential Public Limited Compa) · LNC (Lincoln National Corporation)