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UEUrban Edge PropertiesSell5.4·$23.00+0.17%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Urban Edge Properties operates a retail REIT with 186% free cash flow conversion and strong momentum above all moving averages, but 65% of assets are concentrated in the New York metropolitan area and the stock has already exceeded its analyst price target, eliminating meaningful upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Nyc Metro Geographic ConcentrationStable
  • Exceptional Fcf Conversion 186 PctStable
  • Strong Momentum Golden CrossStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Urban Edge Properties (UE) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%).

Urban Edge Properties owns and manages 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls totaling 17.2 million square feet of GLA at 90.1% consolidated occupancy, focused on the Washington D.C. to Boston corridor. Revenue comes from fixed and variable lease rents from... Read more

$23.00+3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 24 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.59%
IncomeYield3.66%(5y avg 3.57%)Payout91.76%
Stop $21.55Target $23.42(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$23.71+3.1%7 analysts
$23.42our TP
$23.00price
$23.71mean
$22
$26

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Urban Edge Properties

Generated 2026-07-07T12:21:44Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.0
P/E (Fwd)45.3
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn22.6%
ROE8.2%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta1.00
Dividend3.66%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNew York metropolitan area65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our New York metropolitan area properties in the aggregate generated approximately 65% of our annualized base rent as of December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.3
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.88Resistance $23.90

Price Targets

$22
$23
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.55. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.42 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $21.55. Stop-loss: $21.55.

What are the risks of investing in UE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is UE overvalued or undervalued?

Urban Edge Properties trades at a P/E of 27.0 (forward 45.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UE?

15 analysts cover UE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Urban Edge Properties do?Urban Edge Properties owns and manages 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls totaling 17.2 million...

Urban Edge Properties owns and manages 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls totaling 17.2 million square feet of GLA at 90.1% consolidated occupancy, focused on the Washington D.C. to Boston corridor. Revenue comes from fixed and variable lease rents from tenants including grocers, discounters, big-box retailers, and entertainment operators; TJX Companies is the largest tenant at 5.6% of 2025 revenue.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In)
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