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Urban Edge Properties (UE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.77 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%).

Urban Edge Properties is a Maryland REIT that owns 69 shopping centers, 2 outlet centers, and 2 malls (~17.2M sf, 90.1% occupied) concentrated in the Washington DC-to-Boston corridor. Revenue is generated from retail tenant leases; approximately 65% of annualized base rent comes... Read more

$21.77+0.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 23 REIT - Retail
Stop $20.97Target $21.81(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$22.43+3.0%7 analysts
$21.81our TP
$21.77price
$22.43mean
$20
$24

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.77 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.3
P/E (Fwd)40.3
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn22.2%
ROE8.2%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta
Dividend3.91%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNew York metropolitan area65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our New York metropolitan area properties in the aggregate generated approximately 65% of our annualized base rent as of December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.6
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
6.3
P Ocf
7.0
P/OCF: 15.1x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.82Resistance $22.26

Price Targets

$21
$22
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.77 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $20.97. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.81 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $20.97. Stop-loss: $20.97.

What are the risks of investing in UE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

Is UE overvalued or undervalued?

Urban Edge Properties trades at a P/E of 25.3 (forward 40.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UE?

15 analysts cover UE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Urban Edge Properties do?Urban Edge Properties is a Maryland REIT that owns 69 shopping centers, 2 outlet centers, and 2 malls (~17.2M sf, 90.1%...

Urban Edge Properties is a Maryland REIT that owns 69 shopping centers, 2 outlet centers, and 2 malls (~17.2M sf, 90.1% occupied) concentrated in the Washington DC-to-Boston corridor. Revenue is generated from retail tenant leases; approximately 65% of annualized base rent comes from the New York metropolitan area.

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