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SKTTanger Inc.Sell5.5·$38.46
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Tanger Inc. is a high-quality retail REIT scoring 7.5 out of 10 on quality with strong momentum of 8.0, three consecutive earnings beats, and a Rule of 40 score of 46, but the stock has reached and slightly exceeded its analyst price target with negative asymmetry, making new entry unattractive at current price levels near the 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth Profile In Reit Sector→Stable
  • High Quality Retail Reit→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Beats↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tanger Inc. (SKT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Tanger Inc. owns and operates 31 outlet centers and 3 open-air lifestyle centers totaling approximately 14.0 million square feet across the US and Canada, with 98% occupancy and over 2,600 stores as of December 31, 2025. Rental revenues totaled $550.9 million in 2025, split... Read more

$38.46-9.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.96%
IncomeYield3.25%(5y avg 3.71%)Payout109.17%
Stop $37.08Analyst target $34.97(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$40.20+4.5%10 analysts with price targets
$38.46price
$40.20mean
$37
$44

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tanger Inc.

About Tanger Inc.

Tanger Inc.'s consolidated portfolio of 31 outlet centers and three open-air lifestyle centers encompassed approximately 14.0 million square feet of gross leasable area at 98% occupancy as of December 31, 2025, generating $550.9 million in rental revenues for the year. The company's 477 employees operated across 37 offices supporting consolidated and unconsolidated properties in the United States and Canada, with the Tanger brand name featured at each center except one joint venture property.

The company collects rent under leases structured with inflation-based or fixed contractual escalators, with percentage rents tied to tenant sales volumes layered on top. Fixed rental revenues of $437.3 million constituted 79% of total 2025 rental revenues, while variable rents of $113.6 million covered percentage rents and pro-rata reimbursements for common area maintenance, utilities, insurance, and real estate taxes. No single tenant exceeded 7% of leasable square feet or 6% of combined base and percentage rental revenues during 2025. Tanger expanded through selective acquisitions — a 640,000-square-foot grocery-anchored center in Cleveland, Ohio for $167.0 million in February 2025 and a 690,000-square-foot outlet center in Kansas City, Kansas for $130.0 million in September 2025, the latter including assumption of a $115.0 million, 7.57% interest-only mortgage. The company's next significant debt maturity is $350.0 million in unsecured senior notes due September 2026.

Show full overview

Outlet retail's structural position relative to e-commerce differs from traditional mall formats — the 10-K notes outlet centers enable brands to clear inventory, optimize production runs, and maintain direct customer relationships at lower operating costs than other formats. However, certain leases include co-tenancy provisions that could allow tenants to pay reduced rents or terminate early if occupancy falls below minimum thresholds. The 98% occupancy rate at consolidated centers as of December 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 currently sits above those thresholds, but a meaningful occupancy decline could trigger co-tenancy events across multiple centers simultaneously, compressing rent per occupied square foot.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Tanger Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Tanger Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.3
P/E (Fwd)32.5
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA18.4
Profit Mgn20.2%
ROE19.4%
Rev Growth11.5%
Beta1.14
Dividend3.25%
Analysts with ratings16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.4
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.85Resistance $38.78

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $37.08. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the SKT stock price target?

Analyst target $34.97 reached (−9.1% from $38.46); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $37.08. Stop-loss: $37.08.

What are the risks of investing in SKT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5.

Is SKT overvalued or undervalued?

Tanger Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.3 (forward 32.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SKT?

16 analysts rate SKT, with a consensus score of 3.4/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $40.

What does Tanger Inc. do?Tanger Inc. owns and operates 31 outlet centers and 3 open-air lifestyle centers totaling approximately 14.0 million...

Tanger Inc. owns and operates 31 outlet centers and 3 open-air lifestyle centers totaling approximately 14.0 million square feet across the US and Canada, with 98% occupancy and over 2,600 stores as of December 31, 2025. Rental revenues totaled $550.9 million in 2025, split between $437.3 million fixed and $113.6 million variable rents from more than 700 brand tenants.

Related stocks: NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · ALX (Alexander's, Inc.) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru)
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