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SKTTanger Inc.Hold5.9·$40.37-0.59%
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Tanger Inc. (SKT) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away).

Tanger Inc. owns and operates 31 outlet centers and 3 open-air lifestyle centers totaling approximately 14.0 million square feet across the US and Canada, with 98% occupancy and over 2,600 stores as of December 31, 2025. Rental revenues totaled $550.9 million in 2025, split... Read more

$40.37+9.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.52%
IncomeYield2.93%(5y avg 3.80%)Payout110.38%
Entry $36.59(50-day MA)Stop $34.81Target $40.21(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$38.82-3.8%11 analysts
$40.21our TP
$40.37price
$38.82mean
$35
$42

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $40.37 has reached target $40.21. No upside to wait for. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tanger Inc.

About Tanger Inc.

Tanger Inc.'s consolidated portfolio of 31 outlet centers and three open-air lifestyle centers encompassed approximately 14.0 million square feet of gross leasable area at 98% occupancy as of December 31, 2025, generating $550.9 million in rental revenues for the year. The company's 477 employees operated across 37 offices supporting consolidated and unconsolidated properties in the United States and Canada, with the Tanger brand name featured at each center except one joint venture property.

The company collects rent under leases structured with inflation-based or fixed contractual escalators, with percentage rents tied to tenant sales volumes layered on top. Fixed rental revenues of $437.3 million constituted 79% of total 2025 rental revenues, while variable rents of $113.6 million covered percentage rents and pro-rata reimbursements for common area maintenance, utilities, insurance, and real estate taxes. No single tenant exceeded 7% of leasable square feet or 6% of combined base and percentage rental revenues during 2025. Tanger expanded through selective acquisitions — a 640,000-square-foot grocery-anchored center in Cleveland, Ohio for $167.0 million in February 2025 and a 690,000-square-foot outlet center in Kansas City, Kansas for $130.0 million in September 2025, the latter including assumption of a $115.0 million, 7.57% interest-only mortgage. The company's next significant debt maturity is $350.0 million in unsecured senior notes due September 2026.

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Outlet retail's structural position relative to e-commerce differs from traditional mall formats — the 10-K notes outlet centers enable brands to clear inventory, optimize production runs, and maintain direct customer relationships at lower operating costs than other formats. However, certain leases include co-tenancy provisions that could allow tenants to pay reduced rents or terminate early if occupancy falls below minimum thresholds. The 98% occupancy rate at consolidated centers as of December 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 currently sits above those thresholds, but a meaningful occupancy decline could trigger co-tenancy events across multiple centers simultaneously, compressing rent per occupied square foot.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Tanger Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.6% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.3
P/E (Fwd)33.0
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA19.5
Profit Mgn20.3%
ROE19.0%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta1.09
Dividend2.93%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$45+11.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.3
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
5.1
P Ocf
6.7
P/OCF: 16.1x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.95Resistance $41.03

Price Targets

$35
$37
$40
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-1.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $40.37 has reached target $40.21. No upside to wait for. Target $40.21 (-0.4%), stop $34.81 (−16.0%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.21 (+9.9% upside). Target $40.21 (-0.4%), stop $34.81 (−16.0%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $34.81.

What are the risks of investing in SKT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5.

Is SKT overvalued or undervalued?

Tanger Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.3 (forward 33.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SKT?

17 analysts cover SKT with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Tanger Inc. do?Tanger Inc. owns and operates 31 outlet centers and 3 open-air lifestyle centers totaling approximately 14.0 million...

Tanger Inc. owns and operates 31 outlet centers and 3 open-air lifestyle centers totaling approximately 14.0 million square feet across the US and Canada, with 98% occupancy and over 2,600 stores as of December 31, 2025. Rental revenues totaled $550.9 million in 2025, split between $437.3 million fixed and $113.6 million variable rents from more than 700 brand tenants.

Related stocks: FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · UE (Urban Edge Properties) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru)
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