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TXG10x Genomics, Inc.Sell4.6·$31.28-2.92%
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10x Genomics, Inc. (TXG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Health Information Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.28: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality.

10x Genomics makes instruments, consumables, and software for single-cell and spatial genomic analysis, serving academic, government, biopharmaceutical, and biotechnology institutions across oncology, immunology, and neuroscience. The company generated $642.8 million in revenue... Read more

$31.28+10.0% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#12 of 12 Health Information Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield3.04%
Stop $29.53Target $34.94(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$25.77-17.6%13 analysts
$34.94our TP
$31.28price
$25.77mean
$20
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.28: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About 10x Genomics, Inc.

About 10x Genomics, Inc.

10x Genomics generated $642.8 million in revenue in 2025, up 5% from $610.8 million in 2024, with 8,046 cumulative instruments sold to researchers worldwide since launching its first product in mid-2015. During 2025, the company sold 1,007 instruments and 424,000 consumable reactions across its Chromium single-cell, Visium spatial, and Xenium in situ platforms. The 1,178-person workforce as of December 31, 2025 includes 332 in research and development, 473 in sales, marketing and support, and 188 in manufacturing.

Revenue comes from three instrument families plus consumable reagents and proprietary software. The Chromium platform partitions and barcodes individual cells for high-throughput multiomic readouts including gene expression, protein, chromatin, and V(D)J analysis; Visium uses high-density DNA arrays to map transcripts spatially across tissue sections; and Xenium performs in situ RNA detection using circularizable probes and fluorescent hybridization cycles, enabling subcellular spatial resolution without conventional sequencing. Chromium and Visium instruments are outsourced to contract manufacturers maintaining ISO 13485 certification, while Xenium final assembly and optical integration are performed in-house. The majority of consumables are manufactured at facilities in Pleasanton, California, Singapore, and Taiwan. Sales go primarily through a direct salesforce in North America and select regions of Europe, with third-party distributors serving regions of Asia, Europe, and Oceania. Academic and government institutions represent the largest portion of direct sales revenue; no single customer, including distributors, represented greater than 10% of business in 2025. Some components are sourced from a single supplier with no qualified second source, which could cause production delays if that supplier fails.

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A substantial portion of 10x Genomics' revenue derives from sales to academic and research institutions relying on NIH grants and other government funding. In March 2025, the NIH terminated approximately 700 research grants totaling more than $2.4 billion covering studies related to breast cancer, Alzheimer's disease, and HIV prevention. A February 2025 NIH policy imposing a standard 15% indirect-cost rate — halted by a federal court injunction in March 2025 and upheld by the First Circuit in January 2026 — remains in an uncertain state, and the company believes delays or cancellations of such funding have caused, and in the future could weigh on, customer purchasing decisions.

See also: Healthcare · Health Information Services

From 10x Genomics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — 10x Genomics, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T12:41:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-supplier components
Target reached (-29.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)161.1
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA-118.4
Profit Mgn-3.5%
ROE-3.0%
Rev Growth-2.6%
Beta2.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV112%elevated
Max Pain$40+27.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-supplier components
    10-K Item 1: 'some of these components are sourced from a single supplier'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
3.3

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
7.1
Fcf Quality
7.4
Gross Margin
9.9
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 19%, FCF yield 3.0%)No competitive moatRule of 40: 17 (fail)
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.88Resistance $35.65

Price Targets

$30
$35
A.Upside+11.7%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TXG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.28: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $29.53. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TXG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.94 (+10.0% upside). Prior stop was $29.53. Stop-loss: $29.53.

What are the risks of investing in TXG?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-supplier components; Target reached (-29.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is TXG overvalued or undervalued?

10x Genomics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 161.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TXG?

21 analysts cover TXG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does 10x Genomics, Inc. do?10x Genomics makes instruments, consumables, and software for single-cell and spatial genomic analysis, serving...

10x Genomics makes instruments, consumables, and software for single-cell and spatial genomic analysis, serving academic, government, biopharmaceutical, and biotechnology institutions across oncology, immunology, and neuroscience. The company generated $642.8 million in revenue in 2025, selling 1,007 instruments and 424,000 consumable reactions, with 8,046 instruments installed worldwide since launch.

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