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TWITitan International, Inc. (DE)Hold5.1·$4.65
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Titan International is down 60% from its high with 82.8% upside to the analyst target and a strong earnings beat record, but revenue is declining, quality is weak and the stock is in a confirmed downtrend below the $400M market-cap floor.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Target Large Upside→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Oversold↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Record→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Titan International, Inc. (DE) (TWI) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $300M below $400M minimum.

Titan International manufactures wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems for off-highway equipment across agricultural, earthmoving/construction, and consumer end markets, selling under brands including Titan Tire, Goodyear Farm Tire, Carlstar, and Voltyre-Prom. The company's... Read more

$4.65+82.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#12 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-9.53%
Stop $4.47Analyst target $8.50(−15% haircut)A.R:R 5.5:1
Analyst consensus$10.00+115.1%4 analysts
$8.50Analyst target
$4.65price
$10.00mean
$13

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $300M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 15, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Market cap $300M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 114d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Titan International, Inc. (DE)

About Titan International, Inc. (DE)

Titan International's ten largest customers, primarily original equipment manufacturers, accounted for 33% of the company's 2025 net sales, with Deere & Company alone representing 10%. The company manufactures wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems across three segments — agricultural, earthmoving/construction, and consumer — with international manufacturing operations in Latin America, Europe, and Asia contributing 18%, 24%, and 8% of 2025 net sales, respectively. Titan employed approximately 8,200 people worldwide as of December 31, 2025, including 5,300 outside the United States.

Titan earns revenue selling wheels, tires, and assembled wheel-and-tire units to OEM customers and, increasingly, to a less-cyclical, higher-margin tire aftermarket through independent distributors and dealers. The company differentiates through its proprietary Low Sidewall (LSW) tire technology and its combined wheel-and-tire manufacturing capability, competing against Bridgestone/Firestone, Michelin, Mitas, and Pirelli in tires, Accuride and Topy Industries in wheels, and Berco and Caterpillar in undercarriage systems. Titan's cost structure is exposed to steel, rubber, and carbon black input costs across its wheel-rolling, tire-curing, and undercarriage-forging processes, with roughly 32% of U.S. employees, concentrated at its Bryan, Ohio, Freeport, Illinois, and Des Moines, Iowa facilities, covered by a collective bargaining agreement renewed in January 2025 and expiring November 16, 2028.

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Titan's customer concentration has actually eased somewhat: its ten largest customers fell from 40% of net sales in 2023 to 33% in 2025, and Deere & Company's share slipped from 13% to 10% over the same period, though the 10-K still flags that the loss of a major OEM customer to work stoppages, financial difficulty, competitive pricing pressure, or in-house tire and wheel development could adversely affect results. That risk is compounded by continuing OEM pressure to cut input costs, since Titan's largest customers have both the scale to negotiate price concessions and, in some cases, the technical capacity to bring wheel and tire production in-house rather than continue outsourcing to Titan.

See also: Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

From Titan International, Inc. (DE)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02

Recent Developments — Titan International, Inc. (DE)

Generated 2026-11-02T12:03:20Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027114d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $300M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)24.9
Mkt Cap$300M
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn-6.4%
ROE-15.5%
Rev Growth-6.2%
Beta1.44
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C7.00bearish
IV61%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's ten largest customers, which are primarily OEMs, accounted for 33%, 35%, and 40% of Titan's net sales for 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
  • LOWCustomerDeere & Company10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Net sales to Deere & Company represented 10%, 11%, and 13% of Titan's net sales for 2025, 2024, and 2023 respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
0.6
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
7.5
Cash-burning: FCF -2% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
2.4
Rsi
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 15, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (2.6x avg) on selloff

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
8.9
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 114d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
15 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.61Resistance $7.16

Price Targets

$4
$9
A.Upside+82.8%
A.R:R5.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $300M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (114d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TWI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $300M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 15, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Market cap $300M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Analyst target $8.50 (+82.8%), stop $4.47 (−4.0%), A.R:R 5.5:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TWI stock price target?

Analyst target: $8.50 (+82.8% upside). Analyst target $8.50 (+82.8%), stop $4.47 (−4.0%), A.R:R 5.5:1. Stop-loss: $4.47.

What are the risks of investing in TWI?

Market cap $300M below $400M minimum.

Is TWI overvalued or undervalued?

Titan International, Inc. (DE) trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 24.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TWI?

7 analysts cover TWI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Titan International, Inc. (DE) do?Titan International manufactures wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems for off-highway equipment across...

Titan International manufactures wheels, tires, and undercarriage systems for off-highway equipment across agricultural, earthmoving/construction, and consumer end markets, selling under brands including Titan Tire, Goodyear Farm Tire, Carlstar, and Voltyre-Prom. The company's ten largest customers, primarily OEMs such as Deere & Company, AGCO, CNH, and Caterpillar, accounted for 33% of 2025 net sales, with Deere alone representing 10%, while Titan employed approximately 8,200 people worldwide, including 5,300 outside the United States, as of December 31, 2025.

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