Skip to main content

Travere Therapeutics, Inc. (TVTX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.77; Below-average business quality.

Travere Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on rare kidney and metabolic diseases, with FDA-approved FILSPARI (sparsentan) for IgAN and a supplemental NDA under review for FSGS (PDUFA April 13, 2026), plus pegtibatinase in pivotal Phase 3 for homocystinuria.... Read more

$42.70+8.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#42 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.28%
Stop $39.89Target $46.61(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$53.57+25.5%14 analysts
$46.61our TP
$42.70price
$53.57mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.77; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Travere Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: FILSPARI
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers for FILSPARI and Thiola
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA251.8
Profit Mgn-4.0%
ROE-69.4%
Rev Growth55.6%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.77bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$23-47.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFILSPARI
    10-K Item 1A: 'our ability to generate significant product revenues and to achieve commercial success in the near-term will depend almost entirely on our ability to successfully commercialize our products in the United States, including FILSPARI'
  • HIGHSuppliersole source suppliers for FILSPARI and Thiola
    10-K Item 1A: 'rely on third-party manufacturers who are currently sole source suppliers for manufacturing of FILSPARI and Thiola'
  • HIGHpipelinesparsentan FSGS sNDA
    10-K Item 1A: 'The sNDA remains under review by the FDA with a PDUFA target action date of April 13, 2026.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Short Interest
1.5
Debt Equity
1.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Implied Vol
4.9
Days To Cover
5.1
Beta
6.5
High short interest justified: 20%Elevated put/call: 5.77Above max pain $22Concentration risks: 3 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
7.2
Current Ratio
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenue

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.1
Volume
1.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.8
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.35Resistance $48.61

Price Targets

$40
$47
A.Upside+9.2%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TVTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.77; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $39.89. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TVTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.61 (+8.7% upside). Prior stop was $39.89. Stop-loss: $39.89.

What are the risks of investing in TVTX?

Concentration risk — Product: FILSPARI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers for FILSPARI and Thiola; Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is TVTX overvalued or undervalued?

Travere Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TVTX?

21 analysts cover TVTX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Travere Therapeutics, Inc. do?Travere Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on rare kidney and metabolic diseases, with FDA-approved...

Travere Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on rare kidney and metabolic diseases, with FDA-approved FILSPARI (sparsentan) for IgAN and a supplemental NDA under review for FSGS (PDUFA April 13, 2026), plus pegtibatinase in pivotal Phase 3 for homocystinuria. Revenue derives from U.S. FILSPARI sales and milestone/royalty payments from out-licensing partners CSL Vifor and Chugai for ex-U.S. territories.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · KRYS (Krystal Biotech, Inc.)