Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TRIN stock price target?

Take-profit $16.31 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $15.92.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TRIN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Target reached (-11.9% upside); Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside.

Q: Is TRIN overvalued or undervalued?

Trinity Capital Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about TRIN?

16 analysts cover TRIN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $17.

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$16.62-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#38 of 109 Asset Management

Stop $15.92Target $16.31(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1

Analyst target$16.83+1.3%9 analysts

$16.31our TP

$16.62price

$16.83mean

$14

$19

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.62 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Margin of safety: 45%

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (3.4% away)

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.3

P/E (Fwd)7.8

Mkt Cap$1.3B

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn48.5%

ROE14.1%

Rev Growth17.0%

Beta0.62

Dividend12.62%

Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral

IV81%elevated

Max Pain$3-85.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.015%1.05

Quality6.615%0.99

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum6.310%0.63

Sentiment5.810%0.58

Insider Activity6.510%0.65

Peer Rank5.210%0.52

Technical Setup3.55%0.18

Risk Profile5.45%0.27

Catalyst5.25%0.26

Overall (Σ contributions)5.88

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance

0.1

Bollinger

0.5

52w Position

10.0

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

75 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.45Resistance $16.64

Price Targets

$16

A.Upside-1.9%

A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TRIN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.62 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.92. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.31 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $15.92. Stop-loss: $15.92.

What are the risks of investing in TRIN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is TRIN overvalued or undervalued?

Trinity Capital Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRIN?

16 analysts cover TRIN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Trinity Capital Inc. do?Trinity Capital Inc. is a business development company specializing in term loans, equipment financing, and private...

Trinity Capital Inc. is a business development company specializing in term loans, equipment financing, and private equity-related investments. The firm provides tech lending, equipment financing, life sciences, warehouse lending, and sponsor finance sources. The firm is industry agnostic and invests in growth-stage companies across industries, including aerospace, software, Agricultural Equipment, Alternative Protein, Clean Technology, Energy, Food and Beverage / CPG, Information Technology, Life Sciences, Oil and Gas, Robotics, Semiconductors, Transportation, and consumer and retail. They provide investors with stable and consistent returns through access to the private credit market. Trinity Capital Inc. was founded in 2008 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona, with additional offices in San Diego, California.