Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $76.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: government customers (75.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government entities (backlog) (86.0%).
Tutor Perini is a leading US general contractor with Civil, Building, and Specialty Contractors segments executing large, complex infrastructure and building projects primarily for government clients. Federal, state, and local government customers accounted for 75% of 2025... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $76.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: government customers (75.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government entities (backlog) (86.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Tutor Perini Corporation
Latest news
- TUTOR PERINI ($TPC) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- Tutor Perini (TPC) Surpasses Q1 Earnings Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- Tutor Perini (NYSE:TPC) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations, Stock Drops - StockStory — StockStory negative
- Tutor Perini (NYSE:TPC) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations, Stock Drops - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- Tutor Perini (NYSE:TPC) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations, Stock Drops - Yahoo Finance UK — Yahoo Finance UK negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomergovernment customers75%10-K Item 1: 'Revenue derived from federal, state and local government customers as a percentage of our total revenue was 75% in 2025'
- HIGHCustomergovernment entities (backlog)86%10-K Item 1A: 'The percentage of our business coming from government entities has continued to increase in recent years, and as of December 31, 2025 accounted for 86% of our backlog.'
- MEDIUMGeographicNew York and California10-K Item 1A: 'we are more susceptible to adverse economic conditions in New York and California, as a significant portion of our operations are concentrated in those states.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $76.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: government customers (75.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government entities (backlog) (86.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $74.04. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $96.26 (+26.0% upside). Prior stop was $74.04. Stop-loss: $74.04.
Concentration risk — Customer: government customers (75.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government entities (backlog) (86.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).
Tutor Perini Corporation trades at a P/E of 54.4 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover TPC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $113.
What does Tutor Perini Corporation do?Tutor Perini is a leading US general contractor with Civil, Building, and Specialty Contractors segments executing...
Tutor Perini is a leading US general contractor with Civil, Building, and Specialty Contractors segments executing large, complex infrastructure and building projects primarily for government clients. Federal, state, and local government customers accounted for 75% of 2025 revenue and 86% of the $20.6B backlog. Operations are concentrated in New York and California.