Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TPC stock price target?

Take-profit $93.08 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $82.66.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TPC?

Concentration risk — Customer: government customers (75.0%); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0); Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Q: Is TPC overvalued or undervalued?

Tutor Perini Corporation trades at a P/E of 57.0 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about TPC?

9 analysts cover TPC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $110.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Tutor Perini is a large U.S. construction company with Civil, Building, and Specialty Contractors segments, providing general contracting, design-build, and specialty services. Revenue was 75% from government customers in 2025, with a $20.6B total backlog as of Dec 31, 2025.... Read more

$88.19+6.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 30 Engineering & Construction

Stop $82.66Target $93.08(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1

Analyst target$109.50+24.2%4 analysts

$93.08our TP

$88.19price

$109.50mean

$120

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.19: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: government customers (75.0%)

Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)57.0

P/E (Fwd)14.6

Mkt Cap$4.5B

EV/EBITDA15.2

Profit Mgn1.5%

ROE11.8%

Rev Growth41.2%

Beta2.11

Dividend0.28%

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish

IV96%elevated

Max Pain$45-49.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomergovernment customers75%
10-K Item 1: 'Revenue derived from federal, state and local government customers as a percentage of our total revenue was 75% in 2025, 72% in 2024 and 74% in 2023.'
MEDIUMGeographicNew York and California
10-K Item 1A: 'we are more susceptible to adverse economic conditions in New York and California, as a significant portion of our operations are concentrated in those states'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.815%1.02

Quality4.015%0.60

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum4.710%0.47

Sentiment7.910%0.79

Insider Activity6.510%0.65

Peer Rank3.610%0.36

Technical Setup4.25%0.21

Risk Profile5.55%0.28

Catalyst7.05%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)6.23

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

1.3

Value Rank

4.7

Growth Rank

8.3

Industry growth leader

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

67 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.20Resistance $88.17

Price Targets

$83

$93

A.Upside+5.5%

A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.19: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $82.66. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.08 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $82.66. Stop-loss: $82.66.

What are the risks of investing in TPC?

Concentration risk — Customer: government customers (75.0%); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is TPC overvalued or undervalued?

Tutor Perini Corporation trades at a P/E of 57.0 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TPC?

9 analysts cover TPC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $110.

What does Tutor Perini Corporation do?Tutor Perini is a large U.S. construction company with Civil, Building, and Specialty Contractors segments, providing...