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TMQTrilogy Metals Inc.Sell5.2·$3.41+0.00%
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Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.41: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Trilogy Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores copper, cobalt, lead, zinc, gold, and silver properties. The company principally holds interests in the Upper Kobuk mineral projects that include the... Read more

$3.41+75.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#15 of 35 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield5.05%
Stop $3.17Target $5.97(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 6.1:1
Analyst target$7.03+106.1%3 analysts
$5.97our TP
$3.41price
$7.03mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.41: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Trilogy Metals Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:32Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 8, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-44.0
Mkt Cap$588M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-36.1%
Rev Growth
Beta1.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV118%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.4
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2MEarnings in 4 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 6.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.23Resistance $4.51

Price Targets

$3
$6
A.Upside+75.1%
A.R:R6.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-08 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TMQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.41: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $3.17. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TMQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.97 (+75.1% upside). Prior stop was $3.17. Stop-loss: $3.17.

What are the risks of investing in TMQ?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is TMQ overvalued or undervalued?

Trilogy Metals Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -44.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TMQ?

9 analysts cover TMQ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $7.

What does Trilogy Metals Inc. do?Trilogy Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily...

Trilogy Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores copper, cobalt, lead, zinc, gold, and silver properties. The company principally holds interests in the Upper Kobuk mineral projects that include the Arctic, which contains polymetallic volcanogenic massive sulfide deposits; and Bornite that contains carbonate-hosted copper-cobalt deposits covering an area of approximately 448,217 acres located in the Ambler mining district in Northwest Alaska. The company was formerly known as NovaCopper Inc. and changed its name to Trilogy Metals Inc. in September 2016. Trilogy Metals Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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