Turkcell offers attractive valuation at a forward price-to-earnings of 11.6x with strong price momentum and rising on-balance volume, but below-average business quality and a 50% earnings miss rate over the last four quarters create a weak foundation for new investment.
Thesis pillars
- Below Quality Floor→Stable
- Attractive Value Low Multiple→Stable
- Earnings Miss Rate Risk→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS (TKC) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Communication Services · Telecom Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.73: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in establishing and operating a global system for mobile communications (GSM) network in Turkey, Belarus, Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Germany, and the Netherlands. It operates through the... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.73: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
No fresh coverage since Aug 13, 2026
Recent Developments — Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS
Latest news
- NEWS Turkcell Iletisim Q2 EPS $0.05, Same YoY, Sales $1.577B Up From $1.369B YoY — benzinga Aug 13, 2026 positive
- NEWS Turkcell Partners With Bango, Deploys Digital Vending Machine To Launch Super Bundles Offering Subscribers Savings Of Up — benzinga Jun 25, 2026 positive
- NEWS Turkcell Iletisim Q1 EPS $0.05 Down From $0.10 YoY, Sales $1.569B Up From $1.323B YoY — benzinga May 11, 2026 negative
- NEWS Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri Shares Resume Trade — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Turkcell Q1 Net Profit Of ₺4.6 Billion Vs Net Profit Of ₺4 Billion YoY; Q1 Revenue Of ₺65.0 Billion Vs ₺59.4 Billion YoY — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
Latest item Aug 13, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:11Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.73: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $4.49. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $6.24 (+32.0% upside). Prior stop was $4.49. Stop-loss: $4.49.
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-8.0% YoY), Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.12% of cap).
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts rate TKC, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $7.
What does Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS do?Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in establishing and operating a global...
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in establishing and operating a global system for mobile communications (GSM) network in Turkey, Belarus, Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Germany, and the Netherlands. It operates through the Turkcell Turkiye, Turkcell International, and Techfin segments. The company is involved in information technology, value added GSM, and entertainment investment, as well as research and development, digital and insurance agency, property investments, electricity energy trade, and wholesale and retail electricity sales activities. It also provides telecommunications, television, and content; digitalization; sales, delivery, and digital sales; consumer financing; cloud solutions; online radio, television, and on-demand streaming; telecommunications infrastructure; electronic payment; and develop software products and services. In addition, the company offers customer relations and human resources management; directory assistance; payment services and e-money; internet search engine and browser; venture capital investment fund; meal coupons and cards; data processing; data center and cloud; programming and technical support; and digital education services. Further, it provides training software developers. Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.