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Tidewater Inc. (TDW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Tidewater operates 208 offshore support vessels in 30+ countries across five geographic segments, supporting offshore oil and gas exploration, development, production, and windfarm maintenance. Revenue is primarily from fixed day-rate vessel time charter contracts to... Read more

$88.70+2.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#27 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Stop $82.56Target $91.27(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$83.86-5.5%7 analysts
$91.27our TP
$88.70price
$83.86mean
$52
$117

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.3
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn24.7%
ROE27.0%
Rev Growth-43.1%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerrelatively small number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant amount of revenue from a relatively small number of customers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-19Item 5.02LOW
    Director Darron M. Anderson notified Board of intent not to stand for reelection at 2026 Annual Meeting. Decision not due to any disagreement. Board will reduce from 8 to 7 directors. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -43.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -43%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.5
Quality Rank
8.8
Attractive P/E vs peersSuperior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.29Resistance $93.13

Price Targets

$83
$91
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TDW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $82.56. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TDW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.27 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $82.56. Stop-loss: $82.56.

What are the risks of investing in TDW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is TDW overvalued or undervalued?

Tidewater Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.3 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TDW?

13 analysts cover TDW with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Tidewater Inc. do?Tidewater operates 208 offshore support vessels in 30+ countries across five geographic segments, supporting offshore...

Tidewater operates 208 offshore support vessels in 30+ countries across five geographic segments, supporting offshore oil and gas exploration, development, production, and windfarm maintenance. Revenue is primarily from fixed day-rate vessel time charter contracts to international oil companies, NOCs, and drilling contractors. Entered a Sale and Purchase Agreement to acquire the Wilson Companies on February 22, 2026.

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