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TBPHTheravance Biopharma, Inc.Sell5.6·$16.93-0.29%
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Theravance Biopharma, Inc. (TBPH) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.93 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine... Read more

$16.93+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#52 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.56%
Stop $16.15Target $17.39(resistance)A.R:R -3.3:1
Analyst target$16.50-2.5%4 analysts
$17.39our TP
$16.93price
$16.50mean
$15
$19

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.93 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Theravance Biopharma, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:32Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Margin of safety: 49%
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -33.1%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.6
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$877M
EV/EBITDA78.9
Profit Mgn104.3%
ROE50.2%
Rev Growth15.0%
Beta0.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -3.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Speculative
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.05Resistance $17.74

Price Targets

$16
$17
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBPH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.93 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $16.15. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBPH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.39 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $16.15. Stop-loss: $16.15.

What are the risks of investing in TBPH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -33.1%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Is TBPH overvalued or undervalued?

Theravance Biopharma, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TBPH?

12 analysts cover TBPH with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Theravance Biopharma, Inc. do?Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It...

Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine an investigational, once-daily norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, Which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) in patients with Multiple System Atrophy (MSA). It has a strategic collaboration agreement with Viatris Inc. for the development and commercialization of revefenacin, including YUPELRI inhalation solution. Theravance Biopharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in South San Francisco, California.

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