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SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.37: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 40%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

SoundHound AI provides voice AI and conversational intelligence platforms across automotive OEMs, IoT, restaurant, and enterprise customer service industries via royalty, subscription, and monetization revenue models. No single customer exceeded 10% of FY2025 revenue; the... Read more

$8.37+47.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#86 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.46%
Stop $7.82Target $12.40(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$14.25+70.3%8 analysts
$12.40our TP
$8.37price
$14.25mean
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.37: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 40%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — SoundHound AI, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 unbilled receivables customers (83.0%)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-70.1
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA-21.8
Profit Mgn-91.8%
ROE-39.4%
Rev Growth51.7%
Beta2.76
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV87%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-5 unbilled receivables customers83%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The unbilled receivables balances from five customers collectively totaled 83% of the Company's consolidated unbilled receivables balance at December 31, 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Nitesh Sharan resigning effective April 3, 2026 for a new role in quantum computing; no disagreement with issuer. James Hom (CPO, co-founder, Board member) appointed Interim CFO until a permanent successor is chosen.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 7.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.8
Days To Cover
4.2
Debt Equity
4.3
Put Call
9.5
High short interest justified: 40%High IV: 87%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
4.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
9.1
Cash-burning: FCF -9% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Macd
2.3
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
5.4
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.58Resistance $10.04

Price Targets

$8
$12
A.Upside+48.1%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SOUN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.37: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 40%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.82. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SOUN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.40 (+47.4% upside). Prior stop was $7.82. Stop-loss: $7.82.

What are the risks of investing in SOUN?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 unbilled receivables customers (83.0%); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is SOUN overvalued or undervalued?

SoundHound AI, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -70.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SOUN?

15 analysts cover SOUN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does SoundHound AI, Inc. do?SoundHound AI provides voice AI and conversational intelligence platforms across automotive OEMs, IoT, restaurant, and...

SoundHound AI provides voice AI and conversational intelligence platforms across automotive OEMs, IoT, restaurant, and enterprise customer service industries via royalty, subscription, and monetization revenue models. No single customer exceeded 10% of FY2025 revenue; the company is integrating acquisitions including Amelia (agentic AI platform) and SYNQ3.

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