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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $228.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

Johnson & Johnson researches, manufactures, and sells healthcare products through two segments: Innovative Medicine (oncology, immunology, neuroscience, pulmonary hypertension, HIV, cardiovascular) and MedTech. Employs approximately 138,200 people worldwide; approximately 43% of... Read more

$228.00+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#14 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
Stop $217.67Target $242.27(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$252.42+10.7%24 analysts
$242.27our TP
$228.00price
$252.42mean
$155
$285

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $228.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.3
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$547.3B
EV/EBITDA16.9
Profit Mgn21.8%
ROE26.4%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta0.33
Dividend2.36%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV40%normal
Max Pain$125-45.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $223.78Resistance $247.21

Price Targets

$218
$242
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JNJ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $228.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $217.67. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JNJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $242.27 (+6.6% upside). Prior stop was $217.67. Stop-loss: $217.67.

What are the risks of investing in JNJ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is JNJ overvalued or undervalued?

Johnson & Johnson trades at a P/E of 26.3 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JNJ?

32 analysts cover JNJ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $252.

What does Johnson & Johnson do?Johnson & Johnson researches, manufactures, and sells healthcare products through two segments: Innovative Medicine...

Johnson & Johnson researches, manufactures, and sells healthcare products through two segments: Innovative Medicine (oncology, immunology, neuroscience, pulmonary hypertension, HIV, cardiovascular) and MedTech. Employs approximately 138,200 people worldwide; approximately 43% of 2025 sales occurred outside the U.S., with ~23% in Europe and 15% in Asia-Pacific and Africa.

Related stocks: LLY (Eli Lilly and Company) · GSK (GSK plc) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC)