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SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance GroHold5.9·$49.62+0.75%
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Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro (SKWD) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.3%.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group writes specialty commercial insurance across nine underwriting divisions on both E&S non-admitted (59% of 2025 gross written premium) and admitted (41%) bases, primarily in the United States. Products are distributed through independent retail... Read more

$49.62+6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#10 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-13.11%
Stop $46.24Target $52.75(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$60.64+22.2%11 analysts
$52.75our TP
$49.62price
$60.64mean
$80

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.3%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.9
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth44.8%
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV44%normal
Max Pain$40-19.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.8
Support Resistance
2.2
52w Position
5.3
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.50Resistance $51.66

Price Targets

$46
$53
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKWD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.3%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $52.75 (+6.3%), stop $46.24 (−7.3%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.75 (+6.3% upside). Target $52.75 (+6.3%), stop $46.24 (−7.3%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $46.24.

What are the risks of investing in SKWD?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%.

Is SKWD overvalued or undervalued?

Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro trades at a P/E of 11.9 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SKWD?

19 analysts cover SKWD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro do?Skyward Specialty Insurance Group writes specialty commercial insurance across nine underwriting divisions on both E&S...

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group writes specialty commercial insurance across nine underwriting divisions on both E&S non-admitted (59% of 2025 gross written premium) and admitted (41%) bases, primarily in the United States. Products are distributed through independent retail agents, wholesale brokers, program administrators, and captive managers; the company completed its acquisition of Apollo Group Holdings, a Lloyd's of London specialty underwriting platform via Syndicates 1969 and 1971, on January 1, 2026.

Related stocks: SLDE (Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc.) · PLMR (Palomar Holdings, Inc.) · STC (Stewart Information Services Co) · ORI (Old Republic International Corp) · MCY (Mercury General Corporation)
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