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SCIService Corporation InternationSell4.8·$74.19+0.31%
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Service Corporation Internation (SCI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Sell if holding. At $74.19, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Service Corporation International operates 1,485 funeral service locations and 500 cemeteries across 44 states, eight Canadian provinces, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico — North America's largest deathcare network with an estimated 18% market share by industry revenue.... Read more

$74.19+12.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#6 of 6 Personal Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield3.62%
IncomeYield1.95%(5y avg 1.53%)Payout34.83%sustainable
Stop $70.24Target $83.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$96.33+29.8%6 analysts
$83.81our TP
$74.19price
$96.33mean
$100

Sell if holding. At $74.19, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Service Corporation Internation

About Service Corporation Internation

Service Corporation International's network at December 31, 2025 comprised 1,485 funeral service locations and 500 cemeteries — including 312 combination locations — spanning 44 U.S. states, eight Canadian provinces, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico, capturing an estimated 18% of North American deathcare industry revenue. The preneed backlog reached $17.0 billion at year-end 2025, up from $16.0 billion a year earlier. SCI employed 17,869 full-time and 7,318 part-time associates at December 31, 2025.

SCI generates revenue through at-need sales (funeral services and cemetery interment rights purchased at the time of death) and preneed sales (contracts prepaid in advance by consumers). The preneed program is supported by a field sales force of approximately 3,800 counselors operating across digital and traditional lead channels. Preneed contracts are funded through a combination of affiliated trust funds and third-party life insurance or annuity policies; the company's combined trust fund investment returns were 15.1% in 2025, 12.3% in 2024, and 16.3% in 2023. If all surety companies canceled or did not renew their bonds, SCI would be required to fund approximately $258.7 million into state-mandated trust accounts. The cemetery segment — carrying goodwill of $406.8 million at December 31, 2025 — relies more heavily on preneed sales and is therefore more sensitive to discretionary spending conditions than the funeral segment. SCI owned approximately 90% of its real estate and buildings, and 64.4% of comparable services performed in 2025 were cremation cases.

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The cremation share of comparable services rose to 64.4% in 2025 from 63.9% in 2024 and 63.1% in 2023, with average revenue per cremation below that for traditional burials. If memorialization product expansion cannot offset the revenue-per-case mix shift, the continuing upward trend in cremation may weigh on per-case revenue even as overall at-need volumes grow with the aging baby boomer cohort. The three largest states by total revenue — California, Texas, and Florida — expose a meaningful portion of the network to wildfire, hurricane, and flood risk, which could temporarily disrupt operations or increase costs in any given period.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

From Service Corporation Internation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.3
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE33.1%
Rev Growth2.1%
Beta0.85
Dividend1.95%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$120+61.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.8
Revenue Growth
3.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
3.8
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $68.09Resistance $79.33

Price Targets

$70
$84
A.Upside+13.0%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $74.19, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Prior stop was $70.24. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the SCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.81 (+12.4% upside). Prior stop was $70.24. Stop-loss: $70.24.

What are the risks of investing in SCI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is SCI overvalued or undervalued?

Service Corporation Internation trades at a P/E of 20.3 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCI?

11 analysts cover SCI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Service Corporation Internation do?Service Corporation International operates 1,485 funeral service locations and 500 cemeteries across 44 states, eight...

Service Corporation International operates 1,485 funeral service locations and 500 cemeteries across 44 states, eight Canadian provinces, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico — North America's largest deathcare network with an estimated 18% market share by industry revenue. Revenue comes from at-need and preneed sales of funeral services, cemetery property, and merchandise, backed by a preneed backlog of $17.0 billion at December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: BFAM (Bright Horizons Family Solution) · HRB (H&R Block, Inc.) · FTDR (frontdoor, inc.) · ROL (Rollins, Inc.) · ANDG (Andersen Group Inc.)
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