frontdoor, inc. (FTDR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services
Wait for pullback to $51.98. At $58.16 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.98 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap).
Frontdoor is the leading provider of home warranties in the United States by revenue, operating under American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, Landmark, and 2-10 HBW brands. With 2.1 million active home warranties, 76% of 2025 revenue came from renewals and approximately 84% of... Read more
Wait for pullback to $51.98. At $58.16 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.98 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, Florida and Texas10-K Item 1A: 'particularly in our largest regions—California, Florida and Texas'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOWDennis Howard elected director and Audit Committee member effective March 17, 2026. He is Managing Director, Chief Technology, Operations, and Data Officer at Charles Schwab. Independent director; no prior arrangement with Company.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $51.98. At $58.16 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.98 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $63.86 (+9.8%), stop $47.61 (−22.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $63.86 (+14.6% upside). Target $63.86 (+9.8%), stop $47.61 (−22.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $47.61.
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap).
frontdoor, inc. trades at a P/E of 17.7 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
13 analysts cover FTDR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $73.
What does frontdoor, inc. do?Frontdoor is the leading provider of home warranties in the United States by revenue, operating under American Home...
Frontdoor is the leading provider of home warranties in the United States by revenue, operating under American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, Landmark, and 2-10 HBW brands. With 2.1 million active home warranties, 76% of 2025 revenue came from renewals and approximately 84% of customers are on monthly auto-pay.