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ROLRollins, Inc.Sell5.2·$46.90-0.61%
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Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth.

Rollins provides pest control and termite protection to 2+ million residential and commercial customers from 800+ locations in ~70 countries under brands including Orkin and HomeTeam Pest Defense. Revenue of $3.76B in 2025 was driven by recurring contracted services (~75% of... Read more

$46.90+20.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#4 of 6 Personal Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.30%
IncomeYield1.55%(5y avg 1.15%)Payout63.88%
Stop $43.92Target $56.64(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$62.94+34.2%16 analysts
$56.64our TP
$46.90price
$62.94mean
$72

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Rollins, Inc.

About Rollins, Inc.

Rollins delivered $3.76 billion in consolidated net revenues in 2025 across more than 800 company-owned and franchised locations serving approximately 70 countries, up from $3.39 billion in 2024. The company serves more than 2 million residential and commercial customers through three service lines — residential pest control, commercial workplace solutions for sectors including healthcare, food service, and logistics, and termite and ancillary protection — with approximately 75% of revenue coming from recurring scheduled service agreements as of December 31, 2025. Rollins employed 21,946 people worldwide.

Rollins generates revenue through scheduled service contracts (75% of 2025 business), ancillary services such as rodent exclusion and crawlspace encapsulation (10%), and one-time treatments (15%). The recurring contract model limits churn and provides forward revenue visibility. The company operates through a portfolio of brands including Orkin, Clark Pest Control, HomeTeam Pest Defense, Fox Pest Control, and Saela Pest Control, distributing services through company-owned locations as well as 131 domestic and 66 international franchise agreements as of December 31, 2025. Rollins completed 26 acquisitions in 2025 and 94 over the past three years, targeting companies with loyal local customer bases. Competitors in the fragmented pest control market include Rentokil, Ecolab, and Anticimex, plus numerous regional and local operators. Chemical inputs are sourced from a national network of distributors, with the filing noting alternatives are generally available.

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Labor availability could weigh on margins more directly than for capital-intensive peers. The 10-K identifies two compounding pressures: ongoing labor shortages that could limit capacity and force up overtime costs, and National Labor Relations Board rule changes enabling expedited union elections that have already increased organizing activity at some Rollins brands. With less than 2% of U.S. employees currently covered by collective bargaining agreements, successful union campaigns at scale could structurally increase labor costs, reduce operating efficiency, and impair the route-density advantage that underpins the company's margin model.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

From Rollins, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Rollins, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 27, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: CFO Kenneth Krause resigned effective June 15, 2026 to pursue another opportunity; no disagreement cited. William Harkins, current CAO since March 2025, appointed CFO effective June 15, 2026.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.3
P/E (Fwd)33.8
Mkt Cap$22.7B
EV/EBITDA27.5
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth10.2%
Beta0.73
Dividend1.55%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C4.14bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$65+38.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.43Resistance $55.18

Price Targets

$44
$57
A.Upside+20.8%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $43.92. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.64 (+20.8% upside). Prior stop was $43.92. Stop-loss: $43.92.

What are the risks of investing in ROL?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ROL overvalued or undervalued?

Rollins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.3 (forward 33.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROL?

23 analysts cover ROL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Rollins, Inc. do?Rollins provides pest control and termite protection to 2+ million residential and commercial customers from 800+...

Rollins provides pest control and termite protection to 2+ million residential and commercial customers from 800+ locations in ~70 countries under brands including Orkin and HomeTeam Pest Defense. Revenue of $3.76B in 2025 was driven by recurring contracted services (~75% of business), which provide predictable revenue streams.

Related stocks: BFAM (Bright Horizons Family Solution) · HRB (H&R Block, Inc.) · FTDR (frontdoor, inc.) · ANDG (Andersen Group Inc.) · SCI (Service Corporation Internation)
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