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Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Rollins provides pest control and termite protection to 2+ million residential and commercial customers from 800+ locations in ~70 countries under brands including Orkin and HomeTeam Pest Defense. Revenue of $3.76B in 2025 was driven by recurring contracted services (~75% of... Read more

$53.42+8.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 6 Personal Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.03%
IncomeYield1.37%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout63.88%
Stop $51.28Target $57.83(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$64.25+20.3%16 analysts
$57.83our TP
$53.42price
$64.25mean
$50
$72

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Rollins, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.2%
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.0
P/E (Fwd)38.2
Mkt Cap$25.7B
EV/EBITDA31.0
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth10.2%
Beta0.79
Dividend1.37%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.5
Forward Pe
2.9
Peg Ratio
3.2
Ps
5.7
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 38.2xPEG: 3.88

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.95Resistance $57.25

Price Targets

$51
$58
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $51.28. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the ROL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.83 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $51.28. Stop-loss: $51.28.

What are the risks of investing in ROL?

Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Expensive valuation.

Is ROL overvalued or undervalued?

Rollins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 49.0 (forward 38.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROL?

23 analysts cover ROL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Rollins, Inc. do?Rollins provides pest control and termite protection to 2+ million residential and commercial customers from 800+...

Rollins provides pest control and termite protection to 2+ million residential and commercial customers from 800+ locations in ~70 countries under brands including Orkin and HomeTeam Pest Defense. Revenue of $3.76B in 2025 was driven by recurring contracted services (~75% of business), which provide predictable revenue streams.

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